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tombo82685

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Everything posted by tombo82685

  1. outside of wny, would think alot of the people around syracuse into my area are running pretty bad departures snow wise. I'm about 30" below normal right now. Obviously can change very quickly
  2. I mean outside monday PM into tues next best shot is With front this coming Friday. After that I think we wait until following week as we get more se ridge to lift disturbances further nw.
  3. you think so? Generally looks like c-2 type stuff. With maybe southern tuggies a bit higher.
  4. called in my 1.1 to nws buf, felt embarrassed and ashamed like the morning after a college party walk of shame.
  5. yea I certainly don't see a winter's end pattern as of right now atleast. The one storm next Friday could be challenging as the se ridge really flexes then. But with that tpv position we are going to have cold air right by us
  6. Just looked at the eps for longer out. Think thats a pretty sexy pattern for the north country. TPV pinned around hudson bay and you have a bit of ridging into AK and bit of trough in the west inducing some se ridge. Looks very gradient and active.
  7. I need @TugHillMattto come in here and tell me he got screwed to make me feel better. ALways cheers me up seeing his downfalls in snow
  8. It’s is, but it’s on its own where ukie,gfs, and euro all agree with each other. I just don’t know if we can back the flow enough
  9. Yea everyone gets these lovely surprises than I get ball tapped with a hammer
  10. Im curious to see the radar loop of this for that 2' spot in carthage while I sniffed exhaust.
  11. while agree, you can see what all this cold brought, dryness. Things will get more active heading towards february, some storms will work some won't but the dry period will be ending. has a very gradient look to it, just hope we can get something good.
  12. up to .5 wooo lol. If that band makes it here should get me to my 1-3" goal I had set and put me over 40" for the season
  13. I'm watching that band just north of lowville. I swear if that disengrates I may go first in onieda instead of matt
  14. I wonder if thats just a by product of lack of data in that area. Does the airport sit up higher or anything?
  15. fwiw, not sure anyone saw this but this is nws burlington new snowfall avg map for 30 yr avg
  16. Yup, so it becomes to broad and just pushes the trough axis further east arguing for offshore. Sharpen the ridge up or push it west and you would notice better results
  17. Yea but it also depends on the amplitude. Like in this case it's actually centered there but its a very broad ridge instead of vertically stout. So it cause the s/w to dig further east than ideal
  18. OOoo yea, im def the low ball in the area, But I'm not going to complain with 120" even if its the low spot in the area.
  19. Can never say never, but the ridge axis isn't ideal for us, just no room to turn this further west unless that ridge backs up a bit. We will have a better shot as we approach february and we get more -pna and gradient but could also get dicey too
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