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Everything posted by donsutherland1
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Discussion
donsutherland1 replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
As of 10:50 pm, 1.65" rain had fallen at Richmond. That brings total precipitation for 2018 to 54.15". As a result, 2018 has surpassed 1996 when 54.13" precipitation fell as Richmond's 10th wettest year on record. -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Discussion
donsutherland1 replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
As of 5:20 pm, Richmond had picked up 0.41" rain. That brings 2018 precipitation to 49.00". As a result, 2018 now ranks just ahead of 1923 as Richmond's 31st wettest year on record. During 1923, Richmond had 48.96" precipitation. 7 pm update: Richmond's annual precipitation reached 50.00". 2018 is only the 24th year on record with 50.00" or more precipitation in Richmond. -
The National Weather Service's report on the extraordinary warmth in western central and southwestern Florida during September can be found at: https://www.weather.gov/media/tbw/topnews/Sept2018_final.pdf
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Amazing streak.
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If the wind is onshore, Tampa's high temperatures are capped. As such, the mean temperature is lower than it would otherwise be. Throughout late September, the prevalent wind directions were either east or northeast, avoiding the cooling sea breeze. That's what allowed Tampa to break its September mark by more than 2° (while some inland areas beat their existing mark by 0.5° to 1.0°. Today was another such case with no sea breeze. The temperature topped out at 96°, which surpassed the old October mark of 95°, which was set on October 9, 1941. The prevalent wind direction from the daily climate report released a short time ago: WIND (MPH) RESULTANT WIND SPEED 6 RESULTANT WIND DIRECTION NE (50) HIGHEST WIND SPEED 10 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION NE (60) HIGHEST GUST SPEED 15 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION NE (50) AVERAGE WIND SPEED 6.4
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CHS had a mean temperature of 81.5°. The previous September record was 79.8°, which was set in 1980 and tied in 2016.
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Cities such as Bradenton and Lakeland also had their warmest September on record, by 0.5° or more. Tampa's margin was a little larger, as the winds were predominantly offshore. Inland locations less affected by the sea breeze had smaller margins. Some other Florida highlights: Gainesville and Key West had their warmest September on record. Jacksonville and Tallahassee had their 2nd warmest September on record.
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Because of the historic nature of its ongoing late-season warm spell. From 9/16 through 10/1, Tampa has set or tied 7 record high temperatures (including setting and then tying a new monthly record high temperature for September) and set or tied 11 record high minimum temperatures (including setting a new monthly record high minimum temperature for September). The 9/16-10/1 period is the city's hottest 16-day period on record.
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At 2 pm, Tampa had a temperature of 93°. A short time earlier, it had reached 94°, which ties the daily record high for October 1, which was set last year.
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This morning's low temperature at Tampa was 79°. That sets a new record high minimum temperature for October 1. The previous record was 78°, which was set in 1902 and tied in 1989. The warmth rolls on.
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It is unusual. The second half of September was really extraordinary. During that time, Tampa set five daily record high temperatures and tied another. Among those, it tied the monthly record high temperature, broke it on 9/29, and tied it on 9/30. It also set 6 record high minimum temperatures (including the highest minimum temperature for the month) and tied 4 other record high minimum temperatures. The guidance suggests that this pattern could continue through at least the first week of October with the possibility that 2018 will eclipse the record for the warmest first week of October. That record was set just last year.
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Warmest month ever. The previous warmest month on record was June 1998. September 2018 will beat it. Records for Tampa go back to 1890.
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It’s been remarkable. Speaking of Florida, this September is on track to be Tampa’s warmest month on record.
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No year saw GSP have 0 readings below 60° in the September 1-October 10 period. 2016 had the lowest number: 4.
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Vendor, Blog and TV Channel Forecasts Thread Part 2
donsutherland1 replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
I would not rule out areas that radiate better. The City and adjacent suburbs have be likely had their last freeze of the season. -
Vendor, Blog and TV Channel Forecasts Thread Part 2
donsutherland1 replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
I agree. The odds would be very much against snowfall, much less any accumulation. -
Vendor, Blog and TV Channel Forecasts Thread Part 2
donsutherland1 replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
That big change in the pattern has been showing up on the ensembles for several days now. IMO, it's real. Whether or not it holds or is temporarily reversed as April concludes remains to be seen. -
March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
donsutherland1 replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
Wonderful deep winter scene. -
March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
donsutherland1 replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
Yes it would. Even if PWM misses the record, it has been a pretty special March. -
March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
donsutherland1 replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
Yes. Bangor: 41.5", 1956 Boston: 38.9", 1993 Concord: 38.3", 1956 Portland: 49.0", 1993 Worcester: 44.1", 1993 -
March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
donsutherland1 replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
Updated March snowfall figures for select New England sites: Bangor: 31.9" (6th snowiest March) Boston: 21.8" (7th snowiest March) Concord: 28.1" (11th snowiest March) Portland: 31.6" (8th snowiest March) Worcester: 40.0" (2nd snowiest March) -
March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
donsutherland1 replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
From the Caribou NWS: Penobscot County... 1 SW Holden 30.0 859 AM 3/14 Copeland Hill Hudson 24.0 230 PM 3/14 Social Media Eddington 24.0 1130 AM 3/14 Social Media Burlington 23.0 853 AM 3/14 Social Media Brewer 23.0 1025 AM 3/14 Social Media Clifton 23.0 1000 AM 3/14 Social Media 1 SW Orono 22.5 201 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Veazie 22.0 1000 AM 3/14 Social Media Bangor 20.9 157 PM 3/14 ASOS/AWOS 1 ENE Glenburn 20.4 141 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter 1 NW Orono 20.0 1030 AM 3/14 Trained Spotter 1 SW Hermon 20.0 1151 AM 3/14 still snowing Hampden 20.0 1200 PM 3/14 Social Media 1 SW Old Town 18.0 1000 AM 3/14 Trained Spotter Millinocket 17.6 321 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter 6 N Millinocket 16.0 1030 AM 3/14 Trained Spotter Corinna 15.8 1000 AM 3/14 Co-Op Observer 7 SSE Springfield 15.0 1039 AM 3/14 Trained Spotter I guess the Fisher-Coram tag team would automatically throw out the 30" observation from Penobscot County. However, considering the reality that both precipitation amounts and snowfall amounts can vary significantly over short distances, more rigorous quality control would be needed before a determination is made. -
March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
donsutherland1 replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
Thanks Jerry. I will post updated numbers later today. -
March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
donsutherland1 replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
Thanks for this updated information. It's not often PWM gets 30" or more snow in March. -
March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
donsutherland1 replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
000 NOUS41 KBOX 141250 CCA PNSBOX CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-152000- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Taunton MA 827 AM EDT Wed Mar 14 2018 ...BLIZZARD OF MARCH 13 2018... Blizzard conditions were reached at many locations across southeastern New England during the storm on March 13. The definition of a blizzard is that falling and/or blowing snow reduces visibility to below 1/4 mile along with sustained winds or winds that frequently gust to 35 mph or more...and that these are the predominant conditions for a period of 3 consecutive hours. When reviewing whether a particular observation location had blizzard conditions, we counted visibilities equal to 1/4 mile, since that is quite low for an automated visibility sensor to detect. We also made some subjective decisions. For example, at Marshfield, MA, there were significant wind sensor outages, but mesonet data from Duxbury Bay were used as a proxy and indicated nearly continuous gusts at or above 35 mph during that time period. At Martha`s Vineyard, there was a 3-hour wind data outage, but mesonet data at Vineyard Haven indicated continuous gusts at or above 35 mph during that period. At Plymouth, blizzard criteria was met just before a complete data outage occurred, lasting most of the day, which made the duration undeterminable. The following observation sites were determined to have had a blizzard... HYANNIS, MA............10 Hours 35 Minutes...from 730 AM to 605 PM MARSHFIELD, MA......... 9 Hours..............from 855 AM to 555 PM FALMOUTH, MA........... 8 Hours 40 Minutes...from 715 AM to 1055 AM and from 1155 AM to 455 PM MARTHA`S VINEYARD, MA.. 8 Hours 22 Minutes...from 800 AM to approximately 422 PM BOSTON, MA..............6 Hours..............from 840 AM to 240 PM NEWPORT, RI.............4 Hours 20 Minutes...from 850 AM to 110 PM PLYMOUTH, MA............>2 Hours 53 Minutes from 732 AM to 1025 AM but then power outage $$ Field