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aldie 22

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Everything posted by aldie 22

  1. aldie 22
    I ate a ham sandwich while I watched the euro run come in.....jealous?
  2. aldie 22
    This is one where you want to be in North Bel Air I think
  3. aldie 22
    Clearly the NAMs are still adjusting, why anyone would take todays 12z and get butthurt or panic is beyond me. Hope it all works out for everyone in some form
  4. aldie 22
    ugh...even banter is unreadable now
  5. aldie 22
    I was just assuming that yesterday day 3 was red which is now day 2 so they aren't showing that in the 3-7 day threats
  6. aldie 22
    It is drier on the NW edge but man it juiced up to the South...honestly I see that as a positive for two days away if you get my drift
  7. aldie 22
    It's going to get close to 50 today...I bet all of the warmth from the concrete warms the clouds making this a rainstorm only and since the concrete is so hot even the rain won't stick. We might as well live on the sun.
  8. aldie 22
    5 minutes of fame over I hope
  9. aldie 22
    I recall someone important years ago saying the least accurate aspect of models is the QPF output....I'm guessing clearly they generally are too wet but I don't know every bias...hold steady folks something significant is heading this way...and if it doesn't then something insignificant is heading this way.
  10. aldie 22
    What other model dried?
  11. aldie 22
    I don't think this is accurate...the trends were for it to be colder and be more of a coastal. The nam is more frozen, the euro was colder and a tad drier the gfs is a bomb the ukie is a bomb the cmc is the same as it always was a gigantic sleet bomb. Not sure there were any bad trends.
  12. aldie 22
    Mr. Bulb
  13. aldie 22
    Man that wetblanket fella is an awful poster
  14. aldie 22
    I'm probably too aggressive with the rain part...not sure any model other than the nam showing rain at all right now even down by you. I predict you will get a significant event hoping more snow/sleet than freezing rain though. The pictures from Tennessee which was hit by a sleet bomb looked pretty much like snow after it accumulates over 2" I hope we all have fun with this one in some form
  15. aldie 22
    6z NAM still a pretty ridiculous sleet event at JYO...to me now the question to be solved isn't if it's going to be a significant event but what the amount of snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain combo will be. I'm hoping mostly snow but right now my thoughts are 60% snow, 25% sleet, 10% freezing rain, 5% plain rain for the entire event at JYO...subject to change of course
  16. aldie 22
    In one of HMs threads on Twitter last week Colin canceled winter im like what talk about holding onto character for 20 years...yeesh
  17. aldie 22
    Drier out his way...he's a precip queen
  18. aldie 22
    2-4" of sleet would be funny
  19. aldie 22
    At the very least I hope this thing stays as wet as the models are c saying
  20. aldie 22
    It's not, it's a healthy amount of rain and freezing rain as well
  21. aldie 22
    Could they make Blazing Saddles today?
  22. aldie 22
    White Woman 1 and White Woman 2 lol
  23. aldie 22
    I mean look at all of the extreme weather going on out there, even if it's not a big snow maker it sure seems like a pretty interesting winter event is heading this way. As long as it isn't just plain freezing rain i'm pretty pumped for whatever comes
  24. aldie 22
    What's the matter Ralph is your area not in the good snow for this one yet?
  25. aldie 22
    A friend of mine said the NAM is further West with the low now....just kidding that was psu
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