AllWeather

Festive flurries have begun in Manheim, LancCo

He’s one of the best there is, especially for this region. My thoughts are similar to his. The warm nose will no doubt climb into SE counties...how far it goes north is the million dollar question. I’m in Manheim, but I still think I’ll flip to sleet at some point, but could also be timed with any potential dry slot. The warm nose is actually above 850, so 850/925 T maps look good, but the sleet period will be due to what’s happening between 800-700mb. Regardless, the thump is going to be thumpin’ and if the back end deform zone can get going like the RGEM shows, then even far SE zones will finish off with some fun. Either way, it’s the best shot at wintry weather we’ve had in several years, and given how much this year has sucked, I plan to soak it alllllll in.

Smells like snow.

I spent 2 nights at the TV station for that one. Finished with 32”. Our Jeep Grand Cherokee high-centered in our flat driveway.

bUt ThE rAtIoS

This will be my first winter storm in 8 years where I don’t have to worry about a “viewing area” forecast. I get to enjoy the storm IMBY with my family.

Yupp. And does naughty things.

00z CMC goes full over my house

I remember Jan 2016 was showing up STRONG in the guidance at 6-7 days out. By day 4-5, there was this kind of consistency and it just locked in from there.

For the LSV folks: The 00z GFS has 2-2.5” liquid jackpot, all frozen, centered around Adams, York, and Lanc counties. Beautiful deform depiction with strong omega in the DGZ. Those aren’t 10:1 ratios after dark either. The 00z CMC shows a slight different solution, but the same shellacking on the thump, then a less robust deform band (at least in the LSV), but still puts down 2”+ liquid, all snow, in those same 3 counties - York, Adams, and Lanc. Pretty remarkable.

The deform band showing up nicely in the 00z GFS.

LSV getting hammered this run

As a Meteorologist by degree I think you have a prime spot. As a (now) Realtor in LancCo, you definitely have a prime spot. Win-win for you either way!

Thanks! Good to be back.

Alright. Now I’m interested.