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H2Otown_WX

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Everything posted by H2Otown_WX

  1. H2Otown_WX
    Hmm, I can think of a couple exceptions...December '04 and December '14 sucked but the winters overall were great. I mean '14-'15 relative to east of the river wasn't but it was still above normal snow and of course the record cold in Feb '15.
  2. H2Otown_WX
    Lake Flaccid?
  3. H2Otown_WX
    Let the can kicking begin
  4. H2Otown_WX
    I'm not questioning his expertise or knowledge. I just get skeptical of a big change until it gets inside D9-10. So far I'm seeing ensembles showing a change around D14. How many times do we see the pattern get significantly delayed and or not end up being as great as advertised? Do you know what phase/amplitude the MJO is looking like for early Jan?
  5. H2Otown_WX
    Imagine being in MSP
  6. H2Otown_WX
    All I ask is to not look at phantom epic patterns that are always 300 hours away. Brooklyn should just make an animation of the great pattern staying at the same hour for run after run lol.
  7. H2Otown_WX
    This calls for the gif from way back when of you and a couple others jumping into the endless void. Wish I had it.
  8. H2Otown_WX
    Anyone know how much fell at Logan? It looks like 4.8 on the PNS map
  9. H2Otown_WX
    Good luck out east. I was hoping the NAM would score a coup but instead it got into Ron Washington's coke stash. Nothing to look forward to either, LR looks like turds.
  10. H2Otown_WX
    What an absolute toaster bath here
  11. H2Otown_WX
    Any other model you would like to inflict pain on?
  12. H2Otown_WX
    Might need to move to Neptune at this point
  13. H2Otown_WX
    Haha yeah I was looking at 00z although it was the Euro that looked more interesting from a precip chance perspective. I was noting mostly that the GFS was also not all that warm temperature wise between Christmas and New Years. It looks like as bad as the 06z is it also doesn't have a huge warmup.
  14. H2Otown_WX
    Pretty intriguing run of the Euro last night with multiple light to moderate threats running into the defacto block Will alluded to yesterday...very active pattern. Both the GFS and Euro have really backed off the huge torch between Christmas and New Years they were showing a few days back.
  15. H2Otown_WX
    Oh ok Will...wonder if the EPS agrees? Also, the GFS is showing the first part of the long duration event beginning at D6-7 before the ridge gets into the NAO domain. I'm thinking the airmass under the block won't be very good but I'm sure Pike north could still get a decent event if something like the GFS would come to fruition.
  16. H2Otown_WX
    I mean, I'm no expert but that evolution on the GFS is something that just doesn't happen...especially without a -NAO. I'd heavily favor the non-event the Euro shows at this juncture.
  17. H2Otown_WX
    Dick Tolleris honking means it ain't happening. Or watch it be congrats DC.
  18. H2Otown_WX
    Most of us are solidly on the board. It could have been an at or above normal snowfall month for a larger area, we just didn't know. No one did. Could be a snowy month for January, could be a rainy month. We'll just wait and see.
  19. H2Otown_WX
    Imagine being an Atlanta or even Birmingham weenie and you're too far north?
  20. H2Otown_WX
    Definitely getting the deja vu feeling...wonder if there's some kind of lag from the super Nino last year? We had lag during a moderate or strong Nina in 2010-11. Sadly that's the last time we really had a -NAO I think.
  21. H2Otown_WX
    What's the implication of the ridge becoming flatter though?
  22. H2Otown_WX
    Don't you mean the 70s and 80s?
  23. H2Otown_WX
    Models of the sky keep on turninggg
  24. H2Otown_WX
    Yeah what's up with that? I thought I was the only one who noticed that for a given 850 temp we seem to get warmer than we did 20 years ago. I was wondering if it has to do with ozone layer depletion?
  25. H2Otown_WX
    Definitely a signal around the 20th-21st on the GEFS:
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