Oh ok, I don't know my geography up that way too well...does Sturbridge lack the elevation of Holland/Union? I know Union has high elevations that usually cash in.
Good point about climo...what part of CT are you in? I guess when we have a pattern much more favorable than climo temp wise anyway you hope you can cash in with like a 6-10" type deal regardless of the calendar.
Seems like our heralded great pattern is only going to yield and inch or two of snow. Guidance completely lost the threat on the 8th. I suppose there's an outside chance it will come back but the pattern may be breaking down at that point. We've also trended warmer for the 11th which was looking like a potential icing event yesterday. Boo.
EDIT: Didn't realize the GFS is still advertising a wintry outcome for the 10th/11th. Still way out there...
GFS looks a bit more progressive for the threat next weekend. Initially I thought it was more amplified but the ridge out west wasn't as stout so it escaped east more quickly.
Damn, you found me lol. Idk it just looks like we're squandering a golden opportunity for the first half of the month. I feel with CC we don't get as many windows of opportunity as even 10-15 years ago.
Definitely getting a sinking feeling looking at the 12z runs today. Looks like we could squander the first half of the month with cold and dry followed by rain.