That's a pretty big shift west, I wouldn't write off significant impacts EOR. Idk about wind though, that typically doesn't materialize away from the immediate coast.
Not really 3-4 days out...the storm is only 48-60 hours from forming. Whatever impacts we have could be 72-96 hours away but we're getting into useful range of the NAM imo since the phasing that so many Euro runs had was supposed to happen in the Friday-Saturday time frame.