Seems we lost the weekend threat. Maybe 1-3" or something but it isn't looking quite as potent. Always had the look of a quick changeover down here in the tropics anyway. Euro showing a couple threats beyond that as well. Should be a fun few weeks!
Man, that was one hell of a weenie run from the 00z Euro. Guess it can only get worse from here lol. I imagine December '95 was a bit similar to what it's showing. No KU but just a nickel 'n dime pattern with 3-6/4-8" type events every 5 days or so.
ECMWF LR pattern looks a lot better than the GFS as @ORH_wxman outlined yesterday. It shows low heights rotating through the Aluetians with +PNA ridge underneath:
I feel like it's been the most consistent whereas the Euro changes with the wind. Idk, weird to consider the GFS possibly leading the way on this but I would say climo argues for a track similar to what it's showing.