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DopplerWx

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Everything posted by DopplerWx

  1. charlotte to raleigh, toss in the towel. not sure we even see snowflakes at this point. writing is on the wall.
  2. yea this isnt good for clt to rdu. lp inland and this will be a cold rain.
  3. encouraging to see the icon bring the snow line south finally.
  4. good find, yeah that's probably about right.
  5. i know but i remember in jan 2017 every single ensemble member showed 12"+ for rdu, and i was thinking that there was no way they would all be wrong on temps. and they all were and we got a sleetfest.
  6. yep, climo says no and we are dealing with marginal cold at best. anyone outside of the mountains that has their hopes up needs to save themselves a lot of heartbreak and expect rain. any snow falling before christmas is a win. these clown maps are ridiculous and they give people the expectation of monster totals, when in reality even an inch of snow in early december would be amazing.
  7. for our decent storms the warm nose doesn't bring us back down to reality until 48-72hrs out, so to see this so early is not good. mountains and foothills are understandably excited but if anyone thinks CLT and RDU aren't in for a classic screwjob you're mistaken. That 2017 snow/ice map is probably going to be close to reality for this event.
  8. rain snow line is just north of clt it looks like at 120
  9. gotta be careful to not let your weenie out.
  10. a little better than i first thought for CLT on the 12z gfs.
  11. soundings for clt aren't good verbatim. a lot of sleet and frz rain with plain cold rain to start.
  12. 31 and sleet for clt in the middle of the storm.
  13. good lord, i cannot imagine.
  14. what a nice storm to welcome you back to the SE snow reality. hoping for the best but expecting the worst.
  15. that is one thing that gives me a little hope, if we can get cad to over perform we will be in really good shape as qpf doesn't look to be an issue at all.
  16. if we got even half the fantasy storms models showed 150hrs out for our area we'd have snowfall totals similar to buffalo. we will likely find a way to screw it up.
  17. agree. we have seen so many times the past few years to take these clown maps with a grain of salt. expect mainly sleet and rain and then any snow you get will be a bonus. i don't care if every ensemble shows 12"+ (see RDU in Jan 2017), I won't expect a thing until snow is actually falling and accumulating. nam should be able to sniff out the transition zones and problem areas around 36-48hrs out.
  18. lp location is nearly identical to 18z, hp just not cutting it
  19. much warmer at 144, nice cold rain for much of nc.
  20. looks like some amazing fall weather coming in behind michael friday, lows in the low 50s thru the weekend! FINALLY some crisp nights!
  21. thinking the cold front showing around the 15th may be legit, will be one heck of a shock to most when/if we go from 80s and humidity to highs in the upper 50s and lows in the 40s!
  22. don't even need a cold front, just getting us to near average would be a godsend. crazy our avg lows now are in the low to mid 50s! by 10/14 our avg low will be 49 and we likely won't even be sniffing upper 50s! brad p tweeted earlier that september was so warm in charlotte that it was warmer than 73 of the July's on record. (1878-2018).
  23. yea i noticed it wasn't quite as hellish this morning, but still i would love some true fall dewpoints.
  24. euro and gfs thru the end of the run are STILL ridiculously warm. this sucks.
  25. he meant for the month of september. sorry i meant to say no temps below 60 for the month of sept.
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