Bubbler86

And there is our low a tad North of the VA Capes. Almost an exact duplicate of Friday nights location.

I noticed the heaviest returns go toward you and then have faded back some. The LWX radar I had just peaked at looked like they were over you though. Could always be issues with the angles...CTP radar does not work so well for my area so I have to watch LWX if any of the NWS sites.

Unfortunately the aforementioned tornadoes have killed " a dozen plus" down south.

Looks to me like it is about to drop the hammer on you now. Western Edge is not too far away from us so probably the last hour here for me.

Yea, I am waiting to measure again after this band goes through but I dare say this is the hardest it has snowed this winter. Not sure it could snow much harder than this.

R/S Line seems to be charging north in far Eastern PA and NJ. Would suggest to me that the we see faster pressure drops near the DelMarVa and Lanco gets theres.

5.25" at 7:30. 29 degrees. Sn+ Corrected to add the 2 before the second 5.

Whether a new coastal or becoming a coastal itself the precip shield is transforming into more of a coastal like one even now. The HRRR has the lowest pressure transfering from SW VA to the Central DelMarVa in one hour (it does not move that quickly) but as usual the models jump around to different points of Pressure sometimes.

I have been blessed with getting the close to 2" an hour rates. Visibility is down to almost nothing here. They seem to be forming over you right now.

If you look at the HRRR and the western edge in Western PA, between hours 2 and 4 it basically stops moving while heavier returns over the eastern half of the state go from being East to West Alligned to more South to North. My unprofessional opinion is that is due to the energy transitioning to a low at the coast and the shield becoming more circular as a result. If all goes close to this, people in the LSV, especially the further South and East you go, have a lot of heavy snow ahead of them. 3-4 hours 1-2"/hr snows.

You should be piling up the totals now based on radar. Not as impressive as that line moving into PA to our East but I think we are getting over 1" hour rates. Get this to 10-11 and your goal is reached. Southern York county is getting what I would guess is 2" an hour stuff right now.

Yep :-).

3.5" here with Mod Snow that varies to hvy every now and then. 29 degrees. Flakes are fairly large and show no sign of ice/mixing.

The MA thread is too much entertainement to turn away from but I will comment that a lot of people on the west side of 70, that turned to rain or sleet, have flipped back to snow as rates increased. One guy flipped to sleet and verbally called an end to his winter right there only to flip back to snow 30 min later and resume his winter. LOL.

My first guess on why warm air is winning out in N Maryland is that the northern of the two pressure centers is hanging on longer than anticipated. If I change to rain I am going to be pissed. LOL

Will indeed be a high bust if areas NE of Frederick only end up with a few inches.

Yea because if it crosses by 1000 feet I lose my night. Wioth all this said this could change all results throiugh the evening...more amped and possibly mnore snow further north into PA.

I am actually not sure why they are lowering totals in N MD. I would think rates will push most of them back to snow for 3-4 hours later.

Seeing reports on the MA of Frederick changing to rain...a bit of a surprise considering progs. I have never seen a coastal situation that has gone as forecast so interesting to watch unfold. 850's are about 1/3 way up MD right now and 850MB frontogensis is happening just to the north of the line so fairly heavy snow in N MD and S PA.

2" here (non paved, about 1/2" on paved including side roads) and 29 degrees with Mod Snow.

I was just thinking about that in respect to schools. I think I heard some schools have already gone with a two hour delay.

Finally....Sun Down, road down here. Laying on the sides of the road so here we go 18Z models suggest 5-7 more inches here and most of Adams...4-6 in much of Cumberland and Dauphin....8-10 in York and Lancaster...I think it is really going to be a sight for those people near the R/S line in the South East part of the LSV.

I think I am going to be jealous of the people in N York and N Lancaster county though I am waiting a bit to see where the band sets up and really paddles people. It could be a bit west of progs.

Been watching the MESO Analysis. Really a lot of rain down south. We won't see all of that but quite an impressive shot. Dual centers of low pressure.

Yea, I would have 2-3" at this point if the temps were down about 5 degrees. As it is have about 1" on the grass. Our finals are all going to come down to how far west the coastal "deform" band sets up. If we miss it then we are sad. LOL