Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Also, check out the high on the Rgem (first) and the high on GFS (second). Major difference in protecting against a WAA battle
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Yea, I always chuckle when I see the MA folks talk about Hanover, York, etc as snow towns. But yea I may see something if it gets here early enough. Like mentioned above, if it arrives after dark it is a full rain IMO. The 540 line (and even worse in other layers of the column) is retreating in response to the WAA.
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And nothing is laying on major roads. I am not calling for anything of consequence south of Harrisburg right now. I believe 2M temps will be in the 35-40 range in our areas.
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I was talking about the actual content of the note. All that hub bub and and then he drops the hammer.
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What a let down at the end. LOL
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Watch just to your south for 1/4" ice.
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Still a tale of two scenarios tomorrow as to Sun snow in the PM. Models like the Rgem. Euro and Icon have precip way out ahead getting qpf over South Central PA before the cold column escapes to the North East while models that are slower, like the GFS, HRRR and 3K, have precip not showing until late evening/overnight. HRRR actually propels the southern LSV into the 40's. This could be our our only snow for a bit. PSU poo-pooing LR a bit on the MA thread.
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25 this AM. Some parts of Adams near 30. (Edit down to 23 at 6:38)
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You are 11 lower than me. Still above freezing here.
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Planet Reality?
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How much for Philly?
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Easter deluxe. Lanco Landing.
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The brooming snow it shows here. LOL. A can of compressed air to clean off the sidewalk.
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Listen, if you want to pad your post count, you can do better than this. (Actually, it is not so great for some of us next weekend so I see why you are playing the preview game)
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You should see the HRRR Hour to Hour!
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If the lead Dev for the GFS is near PSU, does that mean Accuweather is now managing the American models?
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At 10 days out the butterfly effect is in full effect. If Tolleris yells more than expected on Thursday, the warmer air in Richmond causes the entire system to break down and an entirely new result on the next model run. It truly is Ensemble time right now for those betting...but the op's are more fun.
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The thing I do not like is how it is showing multiple areas of LP when it does that (re Fuji). It happens but not something that a model can pin point 10 days out.
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The Christmas Phasing Fujiwara, tuck miracle.
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If you are willing to say the NAM, GFS, Fv3, and Icon are all wrong.
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GFS evens screws you out of the phase job.
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12/21 is a miss on the GFS (NJ lost 50" of snow) but a convoluted situation arises when some energy drops into the base of the trough arriving after 12/21. Phasey
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Sun: Snowiest meso I see is the Rgem. Nam is a bust for the LSV. The in difference/reason appears to be the precip coming in early on the regm. Has snow here early afternoon while Nam has no precip until night.
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I saw your and MJS posts. Low of 26 and already up to Wu Certified 30 here. Westers had a warmer night. We had some flurries about 10 min ago. Deeper returns over Adams and York.
