Yep, was just going to post. Low position slightly north and west and shield north (just slightly). Not a big difference (well maybe for you) all together but interesting model follow.
Yea, this forum is basically down to GFS or bust when it comes to model watching. The RAP and other lesser used short term models still show "decent" snow in far S/E LSV.
It's good stuff and spot on based on the current models. We have a low sitting off VA Beach and no snow in our hoods....dry air is the answer I would think. In combo with the weak push from the low. Low gets above VA Beach and LSV is in play.
The DP, on the Nam, goes from the mid 20's at midnight to the mid teens mid Monday morning...near the M/D line. Not a recipe for snow when the 2M temps are in the upper 20s mid morning.
Hard to call them all crappy when the event is 12-18 hours away. Not exactly common practice to throw out the Meso's this close. LOL. Global mania going on here. LOL.
18Z Nam is no where near S Central PA again. Not much for the Northern MA either. How many models are we ignoring now? Href, Nam, HRRR, Rap, Icon. Throw them out!