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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Then the new area of LP, near the coast, takes over and goes Due North or a bit West of North into Central PA putting a driving rain storm into a lot of Eastern PA.
  2. Bubbler86
    On today's 12Z GFS, the main area of LP is about 400-500 miles NW of the 12Z placement yesterday for Sunday afternoon. Though there is some hint of redevelopment closer to the coast. Makes for a tricky call with it getting up that far West into Ohio.
  3. Bubbler86
    What a stark difference from the Icon (realizing this is a smoothed out ensemble average)
  4. Bubbler86
    12Z Icon snow and precip with the deform band obvious
  5. Bubbler86
    Did the squirrel have an eye patch and oddly shapen sword?
  6. Bubbler86
    Its all snow for most here though turns to mixed in the SE for a bit. Low goes from S/E VA and retrogrades west a bit before ending up in N Nj.
  7. Bubbler86
    Yea, not something I am interested in seeing.
  8. Bubbler86
    Milky sunshine here. Some high clouds but not covering the sun. But all blue to the West. Up to 35 now. Its going to be a beaut over here today. Maybe you need something at Lowes to come on over and feel it for a bit.
  9. Bubbler86
    Already up to 32 here. Headed for the 40's and maybe 50 (not LSV, west of the mountains). Will be a nice break for a day. Snowpack is already gone anyway.
  10. Bubbler86
    Will see how it plays out but the Nam continues to increase the presence of the wave hanging around the S/E in 36 hours. Even has some mixed precip away from it back into PA. A few days ago it was similar but had since then made the wave minor out...until now.
  11. Bubbler86
    Pretty much what I saw. None of the Op's are suppressing but plenty of the ensembles still were.
  12. Bubbler86
    It depends how it got there for Bubbler and Cashland. But yea we can assume it is not too far inland in the panel or two before that.
  13. Bubbler86
    A lot of 2 storm possibilities there.
  14. Bubbler86
    I think the GFS is really the only one, right now, were we do not get a WSW level snow that mostly sticks around.
  15. Bubbler86
    With this having been a complete nothing on the Euro 36 hours ago, I agree it would be be surprising to see another drastic change but I personally do not have a feeling for it yet. Because it is still 4-5 days away there is a decent chance it still has suppression issues. Lots of the ensemble panels I saw last night were still a miss for us.
  16. Bubbler86
    I think would definitely lead to some mixing in the LSV
  17. Bubbler86
    Many of the classic storms here have that signature/look and people like you and I will be mostly safe from much taint with that track. Ahh...dreams of stuff 4-5 days away. LOL
  18. Bubbler86
    Yep, something like that would feature the cherished radar view of N/W moving bands of Sn+ and the opportunity for some very large areas of accums exceeding any forecasted total.
  19. Bubbler86
    Between Noon on Sunday and Midnight Sunday night. It varies on different models. Most models are after dark Sunday evening.
  20. Bubbler86
    19 here right now. 16 ended up being the low.
  21. Bubbler86
    I am not sure but seems like a lot of players to me. The timing of it, the day after, suggests some players were not fully into the game.
  22. Bubbler86
    The gfs still has the week of the 20th storm. Gem a more traditional Miller A inland runner this weekend with lots of potential to get a bit better. Good times for model tracking. Weird to say after yesterday's euro look so poor.
  23. Bubbler86
    If I get a low approaching the south and east, I am going to rely on the great valley to keep it frozen...not snow but not rain either. 15 here. It is much less cold than last night as to stepping out and how it feels. More moist. The Pittsburgh group may need to welcome us for a chase.
  24. Bubbler86
    I cannot recall that happening at all in the last 3-4 years. Plenty of app runners coming from the south west but this slp would be approaching PA from the south east in this scenario. Appears to be moving North by North West.
  25. Bubbler86
    Had to look on this small screen but at least it was TT which is better for the phone. Did not seem to get the system any where near the gulf like the Op gfs if i saw it right. More TN valley and then maybe a jump to NC? Kind of screws the snow for the Carolina folks.
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