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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Gem is also into PA from a post I just read. Bed time though.
  2. Gfs is extreme west compared to the other 0z suite and the gefs. It really scores a coup if it goes any further west.
  3. On a mobile so hard to move over but most of the wind is east of the center if I saw the panel correctly.
  4. I would be very surprised west. But no hard feelings from most if you get heavy snow. Tracking is fun. The 850 low punching warm air up into the far south corner of PA was a warning sign I guess.
  5. It snows a lot just a tad west of the LSV. It was much better in many aspects until the 90-99 time frame where it went back to its North West drive.
  6. The further north and west part is when it retrograde west along the M/D line post 99. Ccb up into the GL!
  7. It is south at first but still punches into PA at 99 with taint in the lsv. Much faster start to the snow vs the icon with the low at a higher latitude.
  8. It's not the jma or nam with low position but defintely a step south and going to snow a lot. Still has the 850 punching warm air up into western PA.
  9. I am on my phone so may it is a Greencastle crusher. That it was a tad east at first glance. Soon........18Z jma or 18Z nam. Who gets the credit for leading this charge.
  10. Holy!!!! The icon surface is a cashtown crusher..
  11. They canceled and closed the doors. A day or two before they also canceled it due to the snoozer eps and euro runs.
  12. Yea, the UL map at 99 looks great so this could be huge but also very close to losing a capture. All the "door are closed for big snow " posts just took a beating (MA)
  13. Icon is off the southern Ga coast at hour 90. Hmm. Defintely something to watch now. Could be an issue.
  14. The other thing the nam does is put our NC friends back into the snow game. I love when there is a NC to northeast beatdown.
  15. 500 low is still a bit west so its going to turn North in some manner -OR- probably the more likely issue, is the circled area below. There is a semblance of "wave" there as well with the baggy lines and quick drops in pressure. Almost a dual low. But if the primary stayed down south, that is indeed pretty far south.
  16. IMO, the Nam would be more likely to miss to the south if it was not a beatdown. Having trouble seeing what it would cut almost straight North like the others.
  17. Unlike several other depictions, Its not at all threatening a warm up from the southwest through 84
  18. Totally agree. It could be bonkers and wrong but the upper level look also improved. Has to be watched for trends within the other suites.
  19. If the Nam 850's looked better, it would be a something to really keep watch on.
  20. Sounds like some politicians became weathermen. :-)
  21. One thing very noticeable in the GFS, and has been mentioned by many (Carlisle was one I think) , is it does go into an occlusion like situation over us so even though the low is in PA, there is still light snow over the track and even to the east of it. The warm push basically stops.
  22. I personally am not too worried about snow accums vs. how far north the warm air push gets. Just a day ago we thought this was going to be a cold smoke/powder situation and now, Kuchera maps may very similar to 10-1 in some circumstances.
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