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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    The mag post that helped sum up the early models runs made me realize that we are doing pretty well with our pbp, discussion and analysis here as of late. Pretty good group of weather folks.
  2. Bubbler86
    It's worth discussing and looking at trends, IMO.
  3. Bubbler86
    Rgem is world's better than the nam. The area of warm air to our west gets collapsed in as the coastal takes over. Low still comes over us but a more snowy outcome upfront. Though the heaviest is still west of me and the Lsv.
  4. Bubbler86
    Rgem in the gulf at 54 but it too has two areas of 850's rising to its North.
  5. Bubbler86
    It transfers/weakens the app runner too late.
  6. Bubbler86
    I did not look at the surface to see how cold it actually was on the ground but yea a lot of ice. As you pointed out the nam transfer (or moved where the panel was showing the lowest point of pressure) at 69 but 850's are already failing in WV by that point. Not a good scene for snow even some of the places that it did show snow. The inland low just gets so far north.
  7. Bubbler86
    Same here and matches the surface maps I saw.
  8. Bubbler86
    It's a bit west with the fall line for snow. Euro has 8-12 here and nam has a pity inch, but for you guys I think it is more similar.
  9. Bubbler86
    I agree and this is actually a snow storm this time. It's west of us but a little more believable result vs. 18z
  10. Bubbler86
    So at 69 we have two waves. It happened so late that warm air is already surging west.
  11. Bubbler86
    The nam does not appear to be snow friendly unless it transfers and goes northeast.
  12. Bubbler86
    It jumps north. That is different from yesterday.
  13. Bubbler86
    So far tha nam a lot like last night.
  14. Bubbler86
    Hello gulf.
  15. Bubbler86
    I was not sure if this week or next but last year he still posted during his Florida trip.
  16. Bubbler86
    I will not be comfortable until we get into Rap range
  17. Bubbler86
    Yea, was not saying anything to suggest bad vs. agree with Chris that we (even out this far) probably mix especially with the current depiction of the low(s) path.
  18. Bubbler86
    Does the Nam redeem itself? I am not as eager to defend it as of late. It's never been, or ever will be, as bad as some make it out to be, buts its not been "hot" as of late.
  19. Bubbler86
    Yea, there has not be any model run, in quite some time, where we stay all snow.
  20. Bubbler86
    The 18z euro was beautiful. Almost hesitated under us for a bit. If we had not let March 93 or Jan 2000 sneak into our minds (well me at least), the 18z euro would seem like a super win.
  21. Bubbler86
    Watching the Upper layers on the models I keep seeing 850's breaking down far to the west of the "primary low" . Somethings up...it's not a simple cold to the left, warm to the right situation. We know 850 is driving to the west of the "L" on the surface maps but could it be driving in somewhat unison with the other wave? Just model talk. Waiting for a met to come shoot me down. I will not be offended.
  22. Bubbler86
    I still think we are seeing some jumping of lowest pressures with multiple waves. I know we are down south.
  23. Bubbler86
    Thanks for posting. Serious front end. By the time the low gravitates to us, I would think most of the LSV should be near or over double digits.
  24. Bubbler86
    Mag, it was the pivotal 10-1 map because many stations were higher on it than kuchera showed.
  25. Bubbler86
    I going with team voyager on opinions for this.
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