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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Glad she made it ok.
  2. Bubbler86
    Can you ask her to release a balloon in the air so we can get a sample of 925?
  3. Bubbler86
    That is what makes public snow maps so hard for people to grasp, again ala Trainings comments. Joe average Businessman (WFH or otherwise) is not going to understand how 6-10" of snow is now down to scraps. But it can go both ways. If NWS drops WSW's here and the models were dead wrong, like Jan 25, 2000, people do not understand how it went from flurries to 12-18". This event is a lot better than sunny and cold so still going to track and watch for changes.
  4. Bubbler86
    Yep, humbling for forecasting. I kept it to myself for the most part so no 'Where is my one foot of snow" from friends (Sort of similar to Trainings story) but still very disappointing at this point. I feel for the most part we did a good job in tracking so far. Surprised more NWS and paid mets did not catch on to the 850 low/surface wave that hangs on west of the apps.
  5. Bubbler86
    Not doubt. But will still look for a reversal because it's what I do. Track.
  6. Bubbler86
    No, its not. Every other run in HH has been less for me. GFS has been the best with Icon right there as well. Rgem and Nam were basically ground whiteners.
  7. Bubbler86
    Yea, Franklin similar. And these numbers are up there with the best for HH so far.
  8. Bubbler86
    Well that is what happens, quick flip, but it was snowing quite hard over you for that one panel. I think some of the more smoothed over snow maps are a bit better than pivotal right now.
  9. Bubbler86
    The pivotal maps shows you getting less than 1" (goes over 1" with late snow Monday afternoon). Several runs now where I question it what is going on with pivotal figures in close situations.
  10. Bubbler86
    GFS is great for the Western 1/3 of PA. Going to be some gaudy snow maps figures there.
  11. Bubbler86
    Love this panel
  12. Bubbler86
    GFS has precip breaking out mid afternoon for some.
  13. Bubbler86
    I am going to need the Mesos to show something more than 1-2" before I feel steady.
  14. Bubbler86
    Rgem really regressed. Not going to post the map but the 850 is touching NY. Taint in Erie.
  15. Bubbler86
    I agree the Nam is probably overdone but if it has the right idea as to evolution, mainly bringing the 850 low up into S/W PA, we are not going to have a fun time with this. Bob Chill just said he thinks the Nam has the right idea so not everyone is just tossing it aside. I think we are all still getting some snow either way.
  16. Bubbler86
    We already did the Nam PBP. I will try not to delete it this time.
  17. Bubbler86
    Icon is going to be more forgiving with the inland low. More snow for all.
  18. Bubbler86
    Nerd alert? LOL
  19. Bubbler86
    Just remember there are two lows. The inland low (and its 850 partner) get right up to you. Will not say anymore as its your area.
  20. Bubbler86
    A voice of reason? Good analysis. I said it was the worst nam run due to ground truth temps in the 40's (12Z got their as well but had more frz) but it could have trended a bit better.
  21. Bubbler86
    Yea. And I was not aiming that at you vs. using your post as a way to avoid issues as both you and I were doing PBP and not forecasting. I want snow and lots of it so let's hope the Nam evolution is wrong.
  22. Bubbler86
    Going to take the chance to here to comment, this is JUST a model PBP. Not a forecast, not a cheerleading effort, just facts on what the model says. If other suites show nothing like this, then dandy.
  23. Bubbler86
    @Cashtown_Coop is going to have to cancel date night to PBP the 18Z Euro.
  24. Bubbler86
    We can say its the Nam and ignore or use it as a tool. No matter what, the Nam was on to the Western extent of the 850's blitz from the very beginning. it could still be wrong but if not, it gets a gold star for its effort.
  25. Bubbler86
    By far the worst Nam run. Temps well into the 40's S/E.
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