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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Well it is not just temps. Check out this 36 hour map from the 12Z Euro. Inland Low still at or below the "coastal". Less easterly push, longer snow. If you look closely you can see a 998 down and to the right of the 996. That is the coastal. Still looks like a dual low to me. Of course this has HUGE chance for failure to the good or bad. a dual low to
  2. Something is going to bust....Nam/GFS/Rgem -OR- HRRR/Euro
  3. He also advised you to put something in/on the tap (PM, right?) so which way did you go? LOL.
  4. Yep. Sometimes its just weenie hopes but it has robbed us in the past so it could stand to pay us back sometime, right?
  5. I know sometimes weenies over emphazie this stuff, but there have been many storms that had drastically changed results due to non forecasted convection.
  6. It could be -20 2M temp right now but if we get an easterly fetch straight from the Atlantic, it will raise fast. Water temp is 46 in VA beach right now and 43 at Cape May. Not happy just talking what the model is showing.
  7. It's actually clearing out here so it will be your way shortly. Thinking we have a shot at zero tonight.
  8. If the low is over Clearfield, there will be some very mild temps in S/E PA.
  9. It does have that and its due to the strong SE fetch with the low over Atomix. But it is in the middle of the night. 6Z.
  10. GFS gets you near 50 early Monday AM. A/C ready to go?
  11. GFS also with an early transfer unfortunately. Biggest change this run is talking the SLP up into Western PA so dry slot takes over more of PA.
  12. I wonder if the plows in Buffalo can handle real snow vs the fake snow they usually get? Buffalo plow driver: "What is this 8-1 stuff"?
  13. And our friend the HRRR. Usually we root for the primary to give in but now when the secondary has its eyes on the UNV.
  14. That is a lot more reasonable both for snow predictions and our eyes.
  15. Just looked on the PC. It transfers to the right side low quite early...which is bad in this case since that low seems intent on going up through central PA. Lots of sleet for the LSV. 6-9 hours worth.
  16. On mobile but Rgem looks fairly pedestrian for lsv and local counties around it.
  17. My problem with hoping for cad is if the coastal/right low is dominant early. Cad does not work so well with warm surges coming from the east or south east.
  18. Nam still pushing the inland low well up into PA. Not good for us or them. Everyone loses 850's and more dry slot.
  19. He did move his mix line back from the last call.
  20. I think Franklin and Cumberland should still have a WSW...maybe Adams.
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