Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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The Euro snow map redone on MS Paint? Here is Euro QPF for Monday only. This situation is too fluid to say this is the final solution but it clearly shows how close or far away anyone can be for the event. Holding with 2-4" for my hood until I see more evidence otherwise. Keep seeing the obvious Miller B traits on these maps. BUT if these maps were 12-24 hours out I would bump it up to 4-6" for SW LSV and 3-5 for other areas of the LSV.
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Euro grabbed from MA but take 1/2-1" off this for the LSV as they forgot to only do a 24 hour map. So a general 4-6" snowfall for LSV.
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UK 10-1 for Friday where 10-1 would be very appropriate if not a tad too high.
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UK 10-1 for Monday. Add an inch or two for Kuch
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Yes, that was part of what I was inferring. Someone (this time me included) gets left out of the bigger snows when the coastal takes over.
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12Z Icon clearly shows the potential pitfalls of the Miller B. This snow map is for both events, fyi.
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While we are doing numbers, you can note a large scale trend here as to the south portion of the area (except Hanover.) THV ended very similar to HGR with only 31.16" making it the second driest year since full stats began at THV in 1999. 6-7" below mean. There has occasionally been some question about THV's equipment but just taking what the numbers say.
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Ended up the year about 33" total precip here. Closest NWS station (HGR) had 31.02 putting it right in the middle of the totals rankings from the last 5 years and almost 6" below the running mean from 1899. This was the 19th driest year in HGR history.
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Speaking of right and wrong, I am taking partial credit for getting very close on the score/points for winning and losing teams for game 3. :-)
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Starting off the New Year in the hole.
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Microsoft has put out their forecast.
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Latest HRRR focuses the over 1" area near you and to the east.
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Most suites show at least an 1" in some southern PA locales. I like the HRRR panel because you could see the piece of energy trying to form. Temps are not going to be super cold though so possibly just accums on grass and mulch.
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6Z Euro, Icon and GFS snow maps. Euro was a grab from MA(WB) and is 10:1... and includes tomorrow
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@Chris78 if the models hold or trend north at 12Z today we may have to bump up our hopes down here a bit but still seeing some suites showing precip dying off as the transfer happens so not sold on going to 4-6 yet. First things first, do we get 1-3" Friday? That would be a surprise bonus. Check out the HRRR strafing a lot of this forum as that piece of energy starts to form a bit making what appears to be a mini CCB.
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Drought map is only 11 hours and 53 min away. Lol
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MDT's final Dec departure number ended up being -1.5. Highlights were two days staying below freezing but counter acted a bit by 3 very warm days to end the month including am 18.7 AN day on the 29th. The largest negative departure for a day was 14.5BN on the 23rd. 18 days were BN and 13 days were AN. Sorry if this was already posted, hard to keep up when times are busier.
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Snow Squall warning for AOO.
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Districts already prepping for a possible "zoom day" Monday. Word is definitely out whether a moderate event or something more like the last ec showed.
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If you look at the eps panels posted on the ma board, there is much to be decided including a lot of members not having said stripe due to the Miller b aspect. I look forward to when we get a bit of consistency. In a tip to the op euro it has had a stripe for several runs now.
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Based on a surface map I saw on the MA, the Euro seems to maintain the App's SLP farther East before transfer.
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Nice! Pretending you do not have a WB subscription!
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Euro saves the 18Z Suite.
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Will Oregon keep punting when they are down 50 points?
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I am calling it, my predict for the OSU/Ducks game was putrid. I should give $10 to anyone that read it so they can get the time of their life spent reading investment back. Oregon obviously is having some king of issue as they are not playing to their level but to give up 24 in short order is beyond "issues".
