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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Icon is off the southern Ga coast at hour 90. Hmm. Defintely something to watch now. Could be an issue.
  2. Bubbler86
    The other thing the nam does is put our NC friends back into the snow game. I love when there is a NC to northeast beatdown.
  3. Bubbler86
    500 low is still a bit west so its going to turn North in some manner -OR- probably the more likely issue, is the circled area below. There is a semblance of "wave" there as well with the baggy lines and quick drops in pressure. Almost a dual low. But if the primary stayed down south, that is indeed pretty far south.
  4. Bubbler86
    IMO, the Nam would be more likely to miss to the south if it was not a beatdown. Having trouble seeing what it would cut almost straight North like the others.
  5. Bubbler86
    Unlike several other depictions, Its not at all threatening a warm up from the southwest through 84
  6. Bubbler86
    Totally agree. It could be bonkers and wrong but the upper level look also improved. Has to be watched for trends within the other suites.
  7. Bubbler86
    Nam in the gulf with the lowest pressure .
  8. Bubbler86
    If the Nam 850's looked better, it would be a something to really keep watch on.
  9. Bubbler86
    So does the Nam in some manner...
  10. Bubbler86
    Sounds like some politicians became weathermen. :-)
  11. Bubbler86
    One thing very noticeable in the GFS, and has been mentioned by many (Carlisle was one I think) , is it does go into an occlusion like situation over us so even though the low is in PA, there is still light snow over the track and even to the east of it. The warm push basically stops.
  12. Bubbler86
    I personally am not too worried about snow accums vs. how far north the warm air push gets. Just a day ago we thought this was going to be a cold smoke/powder situation and now, Kuchera maps may very similar to 10-1 in some circumstances.
  13. Bubbler86
    I just looked at 850 and this means we are definitely not staying all snow (this depiction, not a forecast. Hate to have to say that but apparently I need to) but its not out of the world crazy that its over blown/amped a bit.
  14. Bubbler86
    New Nam is in. SLP is quite a bit south of where I expected to see it but ULL is still looking like it would give us problems later on. Here is the surface at 84. Surface is south of the Gem and the whole state of Alabama south of GFS.
  15. Bubbler86
    The HRRR nailed it.
  16. Bubbler86
    I do not think so. Its pretty typical when warmer air is coming in from the S/W. A thicker cloud deck has moved in and its down to 43. HGR at 42.
  17. Bubbler86
    Those maps are indeed not good for people here but its part of weather. On some depictions, this system has gone from slipping along the Gulf then sweeping up the S/E to threatening to keep some UL components not all that far south of our latitude. . The big dream of a low sweeping up from the deep south is turning in a much more convoluted Miller situation. Much more difficult to forecast precip types. NC has gone from mention of Jan 2000 to a front end ice storm transitioning to heavy rain storm.
  18. Bubbler86
    Miss @paweather
  19. Bubbler86
    Gonna start trouble, Mag! :-). Everyone is Miller A or go home right now.
  20. Bubbler86
    Most of us do have jobs despite seemingly being here all day so the QPF and snow maps is the limit sometimes. Ha.
  21. Bubbler86
    46 at 2:30 here.
  22. Bubbler86
    Snagged from the MA. Jumped West a bit but not as far as the Op....though this is a singular time in moment shot of one panel
  23. Bubbler86
    Soon time for the EPS to be farther east.
  24. Bubbler86
    And atomic
  25. Bubbler86
    I read several opinions stating that the slow down is due to a less optimal/slow down of its own progression of the low that forms on the coast a few days earlier. The slow down and change in conditions is making the trough a bit less optimal in its alignment. The word last year was tuck...well this is too much tuck.
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