Bubbler86

We (especially East of the Allegheny's) have been very fortunate so far. We are 1/6th of the way through summer and although it has been warm and above average, the oppressive heat being seen just to our West has been little issue here. My take on the LR as of today is that there is little to stop the heat from continuing to pester the US the next week to 10 days but we seem to be in this pattern of the Atlantic blocking saving the North East and not seeing much stopping that yet. Once into the mid 200's, on the GFS and CMC, the ridge is dissipating a bit.

Yea, and I am one to say that the models are always right when it comes to their output using what they had input. They are doing what they are programmed to do. But something is fouled up prior to that day causing the egregiously crazy heat.

The HRRR has it expanding and becoming better organized so will see. 3K did not have it as energetic as it moved through. Edit-Well the "new HRRR" is not as rainy. Hourly changes for ya.

Looks like you may get another shot in ~ 3 hours.

Definitely this time. Will not say never but 115-120...LOL.

Both the CMC and GFS are less "hot" LR now. When @Itstrainingtime mentioned the Euro heat for next week, I did not check and now see it is predicting Central SC gets up to 115-120? Not sure that is believable. LOL. GFS and CM have the same area between 100-105.

I did not hear anything. LOL (Sleeping)

Hrrr says the mcs is an MC"mess". Nams hit lsv fairly hard though.

CXY even beat you! A rare day indeed.

Now we need to get CXY to admit they have the same issue.

You and Canderson are slackers compared to Cap City. LOL. 86 here. Cap City hit 93 on the 5 min readings but have to wait and see what the metric converters at the NWS come up with for their real temp.

The area Hot spot did hit 91 or 92: CXY. 4-6 degrees higher than all other stations.

18Z HRRR and 3K are very well aligned in direction and location of "the low" tomorrow AM. Less MCS like on both though the HRRR has a long period of rain. Both are limited qpf wise for the LSV. NAM12K has conceded west but is more MCS like.

GFS is not too far off but not as extreme and a bit delayed. Several nights of 40's before that though.

When will summer ever start!! LOL

One thing different could be duration. HRRR and 3K both have it lasting about 7-8 hours.

These clusters are always hard to pin down. I would not plan any overnight camping there just yet. The HRRR takes most of it west of PA altogether while here is the Nam.

Just tacked on about a tenth if a inch through a tropical like downpour that came through.

The warm temps win almost every month. I keep telling him that. Our colder maps are the losers posting hope.

Is this a 30's night for you?

18Z a tad south and west.

Sitting outside cracker barrel off 15 in mechanicsburg and it is quite nice outside the sun.

Speaking of the Euro, the heat is relentless for some just to our west. The rare Gray Hot colors in GA and SC.

NWS AFD pulled out the MCS term as well. I have been using the term clipper more in a joking manner as we do not see it in the summer but looks like it intensifies when coming down off the top of that heat dome to our west. With an actual point of LP I never know when it goes from a vort to an MCS. or vice versa. Nam is way east.

Both the Nam and GFS are a bit too far east (heaviest) for even you right now. It would destroy AM rush hour for Philly as depicted. Both people driving and WFH's types trying to get their paper on their walk from the bedroom to their office. LOL.