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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Rgem really regressed. Not going to post the map but the 850 is touching NY. Taint in Erie.
  2. Bubbler86
    I agree the Nam is probably overdone but if it has the right idea as to evolution, mainly bringing the 850 low up into S/W PA, we are not going to have a fun time with this. Bob Chill just said he thinks the Nam has the right idea so not everyone is just tossing it aside. I think we are all still getting some snow either way.
  3. Bubbler86
    We already did the Nam PBP. I will try not to delete it this time.
  4. Bubbler86
    Icon is going to be more forgiving with the inland low. More snow for all.
  5. Bubbler86
    Nerd alert? LOL
  6. Bubbler86
    Just remember there are two lows. The inland low (and its 850 partner) get right up to you. Will not say anymore as its your area.
  7. Bubbler86
    A voice of reason? Good analysis. I said it was the worst nam run due to ground truth temps in the 40's (12Z got their as well but had more frz) but it could have trended a bit better.
  8. Bubbler86
    Yea. And I was not aiming that at you vs. using your post as a way to avoid issues as both you and I were doing PBP and not forecasting. I want snow and lots of it so let's hope the Nam evolution is wrong.
  9. Bubbler86
    Going to take the chance to here to comment, this is JUST a model PBP. Not a forecast, not a cheerleading effort, just facts on what the model says. If other suites show nothing like this, then dandy.
  10. Bubbler86
    @Cashtown_Coop is going to have to cancel date night to PBP the 18Z Euro.
  11. Bubbler86
    We can say its the Nam and ignore or use it as a tool. No matter what, the Nam was on to the Western extent of the 850's blitz from the very beginning. it could still be wrong but if not, it gets a gold star for its effort.
  12. Bubbler86
    By far the worst Nam run. Temps well into the 40's S/E.
  13. Bubbler86
    Hr 60 2M temps. Wow. Non event for many.
  14. Bubbler86
    It's due to losing it from the west and east. A double assault. Cad cannot fight two sides. W Pa forum needs to toss this run.
  15. Bubbler86
    Instant Nam update?
  16. Bubbler86
    850's at 57 well up into PA as to 32 line. Most of South border PA is now frz west to east. The inland low gets too far up again. Inland wave sitting in WV at this point. Total failure if that happens. No good news from here so PBB over. LOL.
  17. Bubbler86
    Snow entering PA at 54. Sleet in the S/W. 850's at that time. Cowboys may have won by this point.
  18. Bubbler86
    Nam at 51 picks the SE coast 999 Low to put the L on....not the inland one.
  19. Bubbler86
    The sleet and Frz will be blowing sideways.
  20. Bubbler86
    Outside the frz vs snow column question, you just need a small shift in the Nam to really score. Less influence inland.
  21. Bubbler86
    Decent shift East at 45. See if it matters in the end.
  22. Bubbler86
    Man, to look at the Nam 36, I would think we are going to be getting a Hec's. High over NY, low in the gulf. S/W in Canada.
  23. Bubbler86
    Anytime I see sleet getting into SW PA, I know I am toast unless something to my east starts deepening rapidly and closing off the assault. Like you said, its not depicted to the east right now. Its coming in right overhead.
  24. Bubbler86
  25. Bubbler86
    I looked at one map and it the same Low swinging through the deep south situation.
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