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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Seems Nam backed off a bit on the extremes but still not good for most of PA. Other models look great for the Western half of the state. Also fairly consistent for the LSV. 1-3" for the most part except the more east and juiced euro which still gives Western LSV a decent score.
  2. Bubbler86
    Did not think to look at the gem since we are in the Rgem range....but it was a large step back for us lsv types. Hopefully the euro holds.
  3. Bubbler86
    I am tracking too. Getting pretty convinced that a low is going to come up to our southwest but can still thump.
  4. Bubbler86
    I looked at kuch to clarify my post. People are taking flak for posting 10-1 though I think 10-1 is fine....Even if It ends up 8 or 9-1.
  5. Bubbler86
    Quick snow map peek of the gfs and it looks fairly similar to the Rgem. Apologies to anyone that lost any snow from 18z. Small screen.
  6. Bubbler86
    Good detour of a question coming. Lol
  7. Bubbler86
    I am actually watching the walking dead right now.
  8. Bubbler86
    Yep. The poster was probably thinking local only but even there it is nothing like the nam. But it was a great example of any person can see a totally different picture than another. Not at all "busting" on the post just using it as an example of how drastic those differences can be in how one sees them.
  9. Bubbler86
    I am not conceding so no way B is. Lol. I think the ensemble east chances are very slim but if the lsv can pull a 4-8 with dry slot, it's a win at this point. Weenie statement I know but it's what we have at the moment.
  10. Bubbler86
    It just saw a post that said the Rgem is similar to the nam. So anyone can see anything it appears.
  11. Bubbler86
    There are also different interpretations going on here so it can lead to confusion. In my eyes, a low is coming up the TN valley, getting somewhere into the lower Ohio valley, then a new low forms off the Nc coast and is captured/ pulled in and stacking with the 850 west of PA. Both interpretations are all good but it leads to different views for sure.
  12. Bubbler86
    Right, which is why I qualified it with the best case Op right now. As of now those ensemble means way east of us are tough to remember. If everything shifts back to that, then I my post was very wrong.
  13. Bubbler86
    Rgem a bit better for a lot. Not a major change for lsv though.
  14. Bubbler86
    Facts
  15. Bubbler86
    Forget the OP's and think how bad the ensemble mean has been over the last several days even if the best case euro is right.
  16. Bubbler86
    Ok, cool.
  17. Bubbler86
    Yea, that is why I am hoping for you. If we cannot get it, you guys should.
  18. Bubbler86
    I missed anyone rooting bad for you guys on our forum. I was trying to talk kpitt down off the ledge. The deform band just missed you on the nam.
  19. Bubbler86
    Skiers on MT Washington will be getting pelted by sleet per the nam.
  20. Bubbler86
    Deform band is just barely west of Pitt. Lol. Dick move by the nam.
  21. Bubbler86
    How much (rain) for Albany?
  22. Bubbler86
    Once (if) the coastal takes over, the column will cool as long as it stays to your east.
  23. Bubbler86
    The canderson flash flood watch is being typed up right now.
  24. Bubbler86
    Pitt may still get the deform band when the coastal gains some latitude.
  25. Bubbler86
    Thats the western low pulling into PA.
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