Bubbler86

GFS gets you near 50 early Monday AM. A/C ready to go?

GFS also with an early transfer unfortunately. Biggest change this run is talking the SLP up into Western PA so dry slot takes over more of PA.

I wonder if the plows in Buffalo can handle real snow vs the fake snow they usually get? Buffalo plow driver: "What is this 8-1 stuff"?

And our friend the HRRR. Usually we root for the primary to give in but now when the secondary has its eyes on the UNV.

That is a lot more reasonable both for snow predictions and our eyes.

Just looked on the PC. It transfers to the right side low quite early...which is bad in this case since that low seems intent on going up through central PA. Lots of sleet for the LSV. 6-9 hours worth.

On mobile but Rgem looks fairly pedestrian for lsv and local counties around it.

My problem with hoping for cad is if the coastal/right low is dominant early. Cad does not work so well with warm surges coming from the east or south east.

22 but down to 19 now. Quite cloudy.

Nam still pushing the inland low well up into PA. Not good for us or them. Everyone loses 850's and more dry slot.

He did move his mix line back from the last call.

I think Franklin and Cumberland should still have a WSW...maybe Adams.

Not sure I saw anyone mention it but I am going to....HRRR relented to eventually showing the coastal as the low pressure point tomorrow evening but still took the primary up into East Kentucky as a 996. The "coastal" which is really not a coastal, then rides due north cutting snow off in the LSV around 10PM allowing for 9 hours of varying intensity white stuff. A good run for the Lsv, a great run for @KPITSnowwhere it snows until Monday AM. Posting the snow map because its somewhat comparable to the Euro. Using HRRR LR snow maps is not a great idea but when they compare to others....

Thanks for posting that stuff. I saw it when you posted but was not in a position to reply for a bit.

Hopefully someone has time to post or review the euro in 30 min? Curious.

LOL

Seeing the Fv3 snow map tempers my hope that the HRRR has a clue. 1/3 of PA does well.

I seem to get on someone's at least once a day.

At least we are still in the game. Darts are on the board. Cannot count on the Mesos until the last two hours. The Nam should be retired. 6Z and 18 are off hour runs and no good. It's nowcasting time.

Ah, ok. Sorry. Is it too late? LOL, Hahaha!

Part of that is due to there being two lows or one giant broad area and the L moving back and forth especially south of PA.

Not sure if I saw this posted but grabbed 6Z EC from MA.

Cashtown-Group enforcer.

How much for Albany?

The Nam is another Cleveland special.