Bubbler86

Some fairly decent returns up to near the NY Border.

19 and eyeballing 3-4". Not much coming down right now and radar looks a little weak just to my west so not sure we double that today, we shall see.

The WSW for HGR now says 8-12 with 18" lollipops.

Lanco making a move to pass Krou.

I started at 2-4 several days ago but eventually went with 8 at hgr as I just did nws stations. I am still good with all my calls....8 here, 6 thv, 4 at lanco and mdt.

Smithsburg closed until Wed? Lol

York and Lancaster are very close to warning criteria and we considered an upgrade with the afternoon cycle, but will hold the line for now at 3-5" in collab with WFO PHI. Snow rates/intensity should taper off Monday afternoon, as the low level jet and plume of deepest moisture shifts east of PA. However, lingering light snow is expected into Monday evening over the southern part of the forecast area associated with the passage of the 500mb trough. Any snow from the departing low pressure system should be over by 05Z Tuesday. A cold northwest flow will then generate scattered late night lake-enhanced snow showers over the NW Mtns and Laurels. However, low inversion height suggest any accumulations will be very light. Temperatures throughout the event will be cold (in the 20s) which will keep precip types all snow (no ice/mix expected). This will translate into a relatively dry/fluffy snow character and allow for more blowing and drifting as the wind picks up Monday night.

Latest HRRR which is the WAA push. 1-3" to go... more to the east with 500 and prospective coastal trough. If the HRR is close to right, most of my predicts will fall short.

A yearly tradition....

Latest HRRR snow on the ground around Noon and still snowing

Some of my clients which host private learning are already calling off Tue along with the obvious Mon closing...pushing back the sad 'out of the holidays season' to Wed.

No offense, but that area could get 200" and I would still choose to live here.

Can we push back to Sunday, please? I saw someone on the MA say it was too late for any changes for that storm? LOL. I must have misread that post.

Kind of late for globals (as in 24 hours late IMO, do not have to agree) but the GFS is like it was 3-5 days ago with the transfer look. Similar to 12Z, some down 1/2, some up 1/2".

Will hurt a bit see southers (MD) getting the big snows. May have to stay out of the MA thread.

Not sure it matters I guess. If you have 4" with a WWA or 4" with a WSW, it is still 4". LOL. BUT what is key IMO is people are so used to sloppy poppy roads after snows and that may not be the case tomorrow. Most progs stay under 30 all day.

Low to mid teens. That is actually not all that low at this point with temps in the 24-29 area. Would guess 1-2 hours to saturate.

I full heartedly agree that it would be prudent to give Lanco City and south a WSW as well as say Etters and south in York. 4-6" there would be my call. Lean toward 5.

Looks like 4" to me.

Came in a little lighter than I expected Harrisburg and NE but still close to WSW there. Broad brush 4-10". 5" in Marysville. \\

Not gospel of course but the HRRR would dictate a WSW for basically the entire LSV. Basically a hold from 12Z. Knocked 1-2" off far East and NE locales in the valley.,

4-8 basically the entire LSV except far NE prior to any 500 or coastal snows. Lanco hitting 4 or more.

The accums down there are not great as it is 10-1 or less.