Bubbler86

If we do not get a decent freeze tonight it is all but a guarantee.

Yep. It is indeed rare that we are both cold. That would be one big trough! Could get a situation where are backdoored and the rises stay a bit to our west while you are also in lower heights.

Interesting developments in the Globals for the weekend. CMC, GFS and Euro all have a back door front and possible light rain keeping one or the other of weekend days out of the 70's with a marine layer type day. Need the rain if we can get some. Euro is super warm next week.

Frost Watch took a beating here. 36 for the low and already up to 41. Looks like MDT bottomed out at 42 or 43. Clouds. Tallahassee FL hit 37 this Am.

That leaves Maytown as the last stalwart.

18Z GFS with only 4-5 days in the 70's for the LSV during the coming "heat wave". Funny we are talking how bad heat bills will be but hoping the GFS lowers that day total even more.

Well, that is not too bad. ~$1000 based on your cost mentioned this AM. As other have said, even a normal winter is going to knock $1000-$2000 extra out of some people's budget with oil or electric.

We decided to let it come on with a setting of 65. So, it will sparingly activate. In 3 days, we have potential highs 65-70 so not going to go crazy here.

Potted plants, FYI! URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 121 PM EDT Tue Oct 18 2022 PAZ026>028-035-036-049>053-056-057-059-063>066-191300- /O.NEW.KCTP.FR.Y.0007.221019T0600Z-221019T1300Z/ Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams- York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster 121 PM EDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 32 will result in frost formation. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM EDT Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Near-ground freezing temperatures could kill uncovered sensitive outdoor vegetation. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The coldest temperatures are expected in the outlying, rural areas and sheltered valleys. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants and vegetation from the cold. Potted plants should be brought inside. && $$ MRS/CJE/WEG For more information from the National Weather Service visit http://weather.gov/ctp

LOL, I thought you parked it and removed the oil a few weeks ago. I am thinking early November for me.

Is your mower away for good? Mine is not.

I think people around here with electric or oil should be prepared to spend upwards of $1K more this winter. Not sure how often coal heaters need to refill their coal so hard to gauge there. I know some people who had $400/MO electric bills for 4 months last winter...those could be over $500 a month this year with the same usage.

Slightly early nooners of 46 and Mostly Cloudy.

It seems everyone is going to feel the pain. I have a mix of electricity and heating oil and the oil is going to be a big price jump for me. $500-$1000 more than last year depending on conditions. Natural Gas is not available in my rural setting. My oil won't cause as much as this estimation but still going to be in mid 1000's. Use about 200-225 gallons a typical winter. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/WinterFuels.php

Low of 34 here.

Just out covering strawberries and other plants that will not like any freeze, even if just 30-31. With the prospect of a warmer second half of Oct I want to save these guys as they may have some life left in them. But feels good to be covering plants....that either means winter is almost here or winter is ending and this time it is the better one :-)

Not that I agree with that map, but MU had his first graupel mention of the season. LOL

It has been signaled for several days now. I think of it this way.... today is just past mid fall (met) so probably some warmer stretches still to come. Those highs on the GFS, extrapolated out from the 2PM temps, would be over 10 degrees AN in the low and mid 70's. I remember sweating in my plastic Halloween costumes. Some lucky lottery winners in Lanco with rain showers moving through.

So, I hear the comment growing season ending each fall.... appears the official designation of it ending is when temps get to 28 or below. Surprised it is that low re: 30 does not end the season.

Nooners. 63 and mostly cloudy. It is windier than a stadium full of Phillies and Eagles fans celebrating. Sustained 15-20 with gusts near 30.

@Itstrainingtime has not been around in a few days but here is MU's take for the next couple days since he is often mentioned here. 2/2 After reaching the low-to-mid 60s early this afternoon, temps should begin to fall late in the day. As much colder & drier air settles into the region behind the front, temps will plunge into the mid-to-upper 30s tonight & only rebound into the low-to-mid 50s tomorrow. Yikes!

Scanned through several Mesos and the coldest night depicted as of 6Z is this Nam12 map for Thur AM or fairly similar (LSV Wise) Nam3 map for Wed AM. Could be lots of 20 readings if this was to play out as shown. Still not a hard freeze as the GHFS showed back 7-10 days ago but some cold nights.

46 here. Up to 53 now.

Congrats to the Eagles fans on here. They looked unstoppable at times. Uber big week in Philly

Up to 72 at Rou' Ville right now. Feels warmer as there is little to no wind.