Front end "snow" vs. Dump. 2-3" with temps in the 30's. But it is the only game in town for the LSV area over the next 15 days (as progged now.)
Outside back and forth model perturbations, there is no real cold air to grasp on over the next couple weeks. Seems a fairly mild period with some bouts of well AN are possible. If not for some help from the Atlantic, we would be really frying. End of the Euro/EPS/GFS (240+)/GEFS (240+) all show some signs of real cold entering the US again, so targeting the second week of Dec for winter to return. My AC unit has NOT been covered yet.