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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Yea, I am not making any forecast or definitive statements, just a model PBP on one specific storm.
  2. Yea, snowing in NC with that type of block was not good when I just looked.
  3. No time to delve into this but Icon..defintely a weird evolution of low from Mid West to off the coast. I understand the block but that is a whole lot of strange regardless. The snowfall is surprisingly pedestrian using the Icon algo that accounts for the very marginal temps near 30.
  4. Yea, a lot of snow on this run. 12-18". Just a single run though, not a predict. The other one I said "Uh oh" just missed the timing with the High and is a mixed event but does not technically cut which is always good. it is also over 300 hours so only for model discussion.
  5. We keep kicking the can down the road a bit but following up on the EC predict for late next week, there is the 18Z GFS.
  6. That happens on our forum when there is a kerfuffle. At least for 8-10 hours.
  7. 12Z Nam not that impressed with Sunday but still something falling out of the air. RGEM is similar....GFS gets the low up into Canada before full transfer so that is no good for most of PA.
  8. Check out a week from now on Euro. Euro basically dissipates this Sunday and has more energy 7 days out. CMC and GFS have the storm but not nearly as clean for the MSV and USV.
  9. To quote Canderson, "This is bullshit". 6:30AM temp of 46 here. On the something to watch thought, CMC is transferring the late weekend low a bit earlier. Still very much white rain with the 2M temps but it's all we got right now as to watching/tracking Short term.
  10. I love when they get pretty pp goals without relying on ovie too much. Understood that movie being on the ice affects it but too many wind and fires from him makes them predictable.
  11. I thought you said Nam, Flyers and all....had to read it again. Caps are in Philly. Ps, I forgot....do not answer, sorry.
  12. If I remember correctly, the Nam was on a bit of an Island as well. I was not here to see it but remember doing some model following.
  13. I was not here so do not remember it that well. @paweather got me with his pragmatic question...did not even think of it being the same day. Nice one. Not worth a kerfuffle though.
  14. Jan '16? I know some people would be bitching about the first part when the FRZ changes to plain rain.
  15. 53 here approaching 2PM. HRRR seems like it may have been overstating temps this AM. Not much sun.
  16. I would love to see some actual accums...upper levels can probably be helped but worried about where the surface nudge down would come from if the primary makes it into Ohio. The day before is really not that cold per all the progs so hard to defend CAD too much. Again, just a model discussion and not a forecast.
  17. Afternoon Globals...Icon, CMC and GFS, all minor out Friday now but tease a bit with a late weekend white rain situation for Northern LSV and north...CMC is the snowiest of the 3. Surface temps in the mid 30's even Northern PA during this panel.
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