Jump to content

Bubbler86

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    29,675

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    RGEM went with a colder column on 12Z. This may be a bit misleading as the panels flash between mix and snow so super close...and the SLP is WAY up in Havre De Grace.
  2. Bubbler86
    12z 3K Nam has about 6-7 hours where the column supports some type of frozen (including the surface) for the LSV. Temps between 700 and 800 are in the mid 30's (or even a tad higher) for most of the event so it shows little to no snow.
  3. Bubbler86
    Yuu did not post this, I did....but MU says you may not get your first snow this week.
  4. Bubbler86
    You almost have to if you work anywhere, they keep the temp in the 70's.
  5. Bubbler86
    I concur that this snow map is a realistic depiction of where the significant snows could happen based on AM modeling. Icing is so hard to predict so not going to venture there yet but I suspect in my hood, this is mostly a sleet to rain event.
  6. Bubbler86
    We have had this discussion in years past. I forget the final verdict but it was at least 4".
  7. Bubbler86
    Hmmmmm. What now. LOL. Euphemism?
  8. Bubbler86
    A chilly 22 this AM. @canderson, the meso's I just looked at have your whole trip just rain by 1-2PM Thurs....if that is time enough to go. Nam 3K has you rain in the AM.
  9. Bubbler86
    The blocking is why the system is "stopping" in the midwest and reforming south of us. The reason we are not getting a MAJOR snowstorm despite a system going south of us is the lack of cold air around right now. No room for error. So, in short, the blocking is "working" but the air is moderate at best.
  10. Bubbler86
    All I want for Christmas...is a storm where we can actually use the TT snow maps. TT is the smoother of the two between it and Pivotal...but the majority of the storms we have faced recently are not clean and the TT maps are worthless. So, this forces having to go to Pivotal and deal with the clunkier interface to get more accurate maps.
  11. Bubbler86
    Decent period of ice but 2M temps above 30 for the LSV. Could be underdoing CAD for the main LSV.
  12. Bubbler86
  13. Bubbler86
    That would suck for Christmas travel. (Ice)
  14. Bubbler86
    I am still "suspicious" of a lot of snow for the LSV. Any kind of SW flow affecting the thermals worries me above.
  15. Bubbler86
    This Kuch snow map backs the razor thin thought process. Long duration event. Thur AM into Friday afternoon.
  16. Bubbler86
    Looks like the GFS depiction is sleet to start then over to snow/sleet mix as the layers cool a bit and precip comes down hard. Sounding say sleet/snow mix for that period. But a bump in the right direction for sure. Basically, saying mixed precip for quite a while.
  17. Bubbler86
    12Z Rgem manages to bring the precip down hard enough to avoid the melt layer sleet fest for a period in the LSV. A game day/moment by moment situation but interesting.
  18. Bubbler86
    Some close to 1" sleet totals just north of Harrisburg (3:1)
  19. Bubbler86
    It is not your eyes, it is mine. I was looking on my phone and was looking at the wrong diagonal line (mixing ratio line tricked me). It is actually 35-40ish between 700 and 800, not near 50. Does not change the end result but thanks for correcting.
  20. Bubbler86
    34 and cloudy this Am. NAM and RGEM both have quite a nice sleet event for 6+ hours Thur AM. Rgem in particular would-be accumulating sleet. This RGEM sounding for near MDT, as the event starts, shows temps in the 20's on the ground and near 50 at 700-800mb which means snow has to fall through it. Red line is temp and green is dewpoint.
  21. Bubbler86
    Almost expect him to get one eng per game now.
  22. Bubbler86
    It was a reply to another football post, but the quote did not show for some reason (see below). Eagles obviously did great today too.
  23. Bubbler86
    OUR football team....good and bad. Incredible goal line stand then 98 yard drive.
  24. Bubbler86
    No Euro posts meant the outcome was obvious without looking...but I looked anyway. Ugg. Road Trip to Sayre.
  25. Bubbler86
    Bubbler is not giving in, FWIW. Just talking about what 12Z was spitting out. At least we are tracking.
×
×
  • Create New...