Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Yep. Too many reasons why this is not working when it is as easy as watching the 540 for WAA chances. People saying it is over on the MA. It is no different now than it was an hour ago. They will still watch the models every 6 hours.
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Boundary on the 0Z Nam is well south of 18z. Takes away some of the WAA options even though it will still hit SE PA on the curve.
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When things started going south, there were comments here before some of the MA posters.... that have a lot of similarity. Not saying anyone copied vs. pointing out people on more than board are not just jumping from model to model. JB is not to the level of this board IMO.
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You ought to look at your home skills also.
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Its over. The last model run was bad. But if the next model run is good then it was never over until the next bad model run. Science, schmicience
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Some forecasters will not use globals within 72 hours. They are a blunt object vs the fine tuned meso's. Does not mean any one model is right.
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It's over jns. We do not need science follow models.
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I thought the flooring guys were some third party gang of internet posters who got a radio station contract and changed their forecast every 6 hours? The flooring guys did not seem like professional met forecasts.
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RE a typical winter.
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The MA thread wants to be taken seriously yet we see some questionable analysis over the 30-60 min. Frustrating to say the least. Hopefully the good posters are back soon. At this point it is whatever model has run last over there.
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Don't worry about the good info from bubbler and grandmaster.
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The GFS was not Happy this hour... slightly regressing from the 12Z. As JNS pointed out the lowest level of pressures are way south.
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I remember the Rgem or HRRR 24 hours ago had you in the mid to upper 60's.
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It has feelings and does not like being called a kicker.
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On my maps it is farther South but not as much East. Nam is in Ohio and that is centered to the west.
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I think it misses by a county or two but yes, this "kicker" is the key if we do not get a WAA bomb like the Nam shows.
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I think we needed this 100 miles farther East.
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Thanks. I upped my post after first draft to show the major north shift.
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Icon 999 low just south of the VA Capes and little snow here. Right....Das Verruckt. Icon was actually a LOT more snow here (near M/D line over into Lanco) than 12Z though.
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In this case nothing is leading the way, IMO. It is models having difficulty with gauging the pattern.
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It is much windier than Florida that is for sure.
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Ralph Wiggum has pulled his pants back up and re-buckled.
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No where near over at this point as the low is captured and moving North.
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1046 High still centered in Canada at hour 81 on the Nam.
