Bubbler86

Wow, the MA LR thread is taking this situation on the chops. Blow up the pattern, Mid-January, etc... Too high counting on patterns and too low in giving up quickly.

Thanks Mag. On this note, the latest Icon, notoriously stingy on snow, has WWA level event for the Western LSV and true South Centra PA with the first wave. The areas that see snow actually do not see much rain afterwards as they are dry slotted. An area of 2-4" of rain moves up through Eastern PA. The CFS continues to signal this area of snow will also be a bit more east than modeled by the normal Globals as of now.

I have already shoveled 2 feet of pattern off my driveway.

What is the official last date you have done your snow mow?

The lack of weather posts suggests the results of model runs.

Defintely

Icon was 'nado's again

@Atomixwx...Waddle

Even fake snow fails us, eh?

I do not recall that one, was there a wave involved? I do not keep records like some of you guys. But my comment was more based on the theory that cold air chasing moisture is often "over modeled".

CFS took a big jump toward a snowy solution at 12Z. Has its own strange two wave way to do it so not even going to try and break it down. Most of the snow comes on Christmas EVE morning. This is a snow depth map. Not a huge fan of the CFS but this goes to show options are on the table.

Time for the 12Z Blues to go away in lieu of the 18Z HH ups.

The LSV does anafrontal snow like no ones business (not). No offense to your thoughts....

We got to 47 today. A 5-10 degree bust by the models only 6 hours back.

I have Cook. HIs TD only happened because of an instant replay on Ryans Qb sneak. The Colts have made a season out of choking.

Looks like it is still snowing in Buffalo.

Several in the MA thread are throwing the towel in for Dec. Kind of crazy. It is Dec 17th. Our forecasting technology has trouble getting 24 hours forecasts correct.

My hope/thought on this one is that it is Miller/new formation type situation so too early to count it out. If a low was forming in the heartland and cutting, yea it might be more clear. Scanning through the 12Z GFS and watching the evolution, there are 3 areas of energy in play.

With that said, it is only Saturday. Just like a HECS being shown now, a no go being shown can revert back. Lots of twitter mets may throw it under the bus and say it is over but being a met that makes predicts a week out is guaranteed of one thing...being wrong a lot (no offense). We can look at models as of now and make determinations based on what they show today but like the ensembles, just one small change in an environmental situation can butterfly effect itself into a totally different result 5 days from now.

It seemingly happens 8 or 9 out of 10 times whether leaning on ensembles or ops.

Burn both our asses. That damn waddle walk. Still torn on Davis. He has not had a good week in quite some time.

Same here with week one and my opponent has Tua and waddle. Not sure what to think about the game.

Up to 42 now. Wind is still chilly.

Already up to 38 here. Surprised it is warming so fast.

Another worry for Bills players in fantasy (and Miami)