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Bubbler86

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  1. Bubbler86
    Down to 16 here but winds have backed off a lot.
  2. Bubbler86
    Good Luck with your next chapter.
  3. Bubbler86
    https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=Kmdt You can change the last 3 letters to any station....LNS, MUI, THV, etc. (for anyone else seeing this link, I know you know that).
  4. Bubbler86
    Buy me a coke (or some coke, whatever)
  5. Bubbler86
    I was just enjoying the nerdy component of the discussion. That WPC map made it a bit confusing as it showed the front in the Lehigh Valley at 7AM. That seems to have been a bit quick.
  6. Bubbler86
    MDT just had a gust to 45. Already down to 21 here.
  7. Bubbler86
    Yea, I was not trying to be persnickety, sorry. To me it looked like the front passed Harrisburg before 8AM. I had initially said it looked like it was in NJ but then I did see the WPC map was an estimate so I yanked that misconception, sorry. I do believe it takes a period of time from front passage for temps mixing down to the surface.
  8. Bubbler86
    I was reading the surface ob's at MDT as well. The DP started dropping slightly before 8 so that would indicate the front had passed to me. But this is interesting as there is always a delay in temp drop from what I have seen. HRRR has back building of precip well after the front, so I was not just counting on the precip. HRRR has precip in MDT still at noon which is way past the front.
  9. Bubbler86
    So, you are looking at a +50 drop today if the HRRR is right having you at 0 at midnight. Impressive.
  10. Bubbler86
    SPC/WPC is insisting the front is entering NJ right now FWIW. Wind direction here changed about 2 hours ago. Not that it really matters but the delay in temp drop is interesting.
  11. Bubbler86
    The second/reinforcing front looks to come through around 7PM (MDT)
  12. Bubbler86
    The front itself is well past Harrisburg per SPC and wind direction ob's but the temps always lag a bit behind it. I bet you are below freezing by 10 or 10:30. Winds took on a more westerly component at LNS around 8:20.
  13. Bubbler86
    Latest SPC (WPC actually I guess) Map which is actually a couple hours behind.
  14. Bubbler86
    SPC and Surface Ob's suggest the front is in Eastern PA/ NJ right now.
  15. Bubbler86
    At the very least, the saturated ground is going to freeze like it has not in quite some time.
  16. Bubbler86
    It was 36 here at 8:20. It is now 32 with a gust of 38 recently. LOTS of water still on the roads....creek at the Rouzerville park is over its banks but not on the road.
  17. Bubbler86
    Will see how it goes but all the recent HRRR's juice up the front as it passes the LSV.
  18. Bubbler86
    To me the only saving grace is that the temp drop is a bit delayed for an hour or two once the precip is by. It gets below freezing but not way below until closer to lunch.
  19. Bubbler86
    That is what worries me about the roads.
  20. Bubbler86
    Very similar totals here....just dropped another 1/4" in the last hour and over 2.5" now, mostly rain. Roads are very wet...hoping the wind dries them a bit in the next 2-3 hours. 6Z HRRR drops a fresh coat of 1/2-1" of snow in the Eastern LSV.
  21. Bubbler86
    On Jan 19th, 1994 MDT's high temp for the day was -1...meaning it stayed below 0 all day. Dec wise, the lowest high temp at MDT is in 1917 when it only got to 5,7 and 8 for highs over a span of 3 days of Dec 29, 30 and 21. I do wonder if it gets to 0 at LNS before midnight, would the 57 degree 12-hour drop be a record? The record high for tomorrow/ Christmas Eve is 15 and that may be in trouble as could the record low of -1 possibly be broken.
  22. Bubbler86
    Merry Christmas! :-)
  23. Bubbler86
    Steep drop still back in SW PA. Snow does not look too impressive at current. Wish it was not raining though...
  24. Bubbler86
    Lns made 57 last night. 48 at Mdt it appears.
  25. Bubbler86
    I had not noticed many models showing sustained over 35 though. Fingers crossed we do not get that.
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