The Icon moved toward the GFS/CMC etc with more prescence west of us. Starts off as rain or slop over the LSV now. Note highlighted 540 giving away below.
Yea, I just posted about that. If there is any push from a low going to our west, even if dying/transfering, you and I have a tough road until the transfer turns the flow away from the S/W.
No doubt. I actually face a similar issue here. S/W winds mean any snow falling is limited unless the cold to start was very deep/extensive. But I totally get it, Pitt almost 100% needs the wind to not turn SW.
That is the fault of the engineering team for the different weather bureaus...running their models 4X a time (or 24X in the case of some!). That is one big pic of Brett Maher!
Did not check the UK but the Euro and CMC/Rgem seem to be in a smaller camp now in keeping the primary stronger as it climbs....the GFS has a primary push of warm air but much more Icon like with Surface features now....NAM looks more Icon like if not even more extreme and maybe too far south.