Bubbler86

Talk about an unlucky time to go there for meetings.

We seem to so rarely get those types of situations here anymore. Most of my raining and in the low to mid 20's memories are from long ago.

Your cool new truck gets a lot better mileage than my small SUV. I have a fairly powerfully 285HP motor that sucks gas like a Uhaul. LOL. That 33 gallon tank is great for not having to get out and gas up when cold out!

I am liking your post not because I like it but more liking that you had that info which is good stuff to digest and consider.

12Z HRRR continues to have two distinct areas of light snow in the early hours tomorrow. Appears to be a really weak deform band starting as the departing low hits the water.

Nanook of Maytown! My friends in Florida think I need a snowplow on my SUV to go anywhere in the winter...I guess TV shows set expectations of certain types of people and areas.

Almost looks like your Chevy has a Dodge Ram logo on the hood.

I personally do not go to any other boards other than the MA and occasionally Pitt and a rare stop into OT. So, I did not realize some of you left though I did notice not seeing your name as much. I understand the reasoning behind it though. It is part of the story of how the other boards began to fade away including the Usenet groups when neweather became neweather moderated. The SW troughing is on our minds a lot. It works to continue promoting the SE Ridge pushing the tracks too far west for pure snow here. When we do get a break from the ridge, the track too often does what it is doing this week with the flows totally separating and leaving the MA and Northeast fairly dry. At the end of it, it leaves boards like this thriving on talk of anomalous weather records which unfortunately works to set up angst with some people. Case in point, our near record setting positive anomaly Jan temps have alleviated fears of mass heating oil shortages and people going into debt to pay for home heating (electric and oil.) A topic that is directly related to weather. Yet, some (in all forums) will take offense to talk like that because it does not fit the mantra that we should be only talk about (pretend this January) snow and cold. You mentioned models and the fun model chasing, chasing storms, has really turned sour this year.

MDT stands at 39.7 for an average going into today. If the average raised .2 it would take second place. Below is 1932 and not every day was above normal....Jan 31 saved it. Ha. Of interest also is that Jan 13th came fairly close to having cooling degree days in the month of Jamaury. 1950 (current second place) had 5 days below normal. NOWData - NOAA Online Weather Data 1Click for calendar NOWData - NOAA Online Weather DataEnlarge resultsPrintClose Climatological Data for Middletown-Harrisburg Area, PA (ThreadEx) - January 1932 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Date Temperature HDD CDD Precipitation New Snow Snow Depth Maximum Minimum Average Departure 1932-01-01 40 32 36.0 3.7 29 0 1.41 0.3 0 1932-01-02 43 36 39.5 7.4 25 0 0.34 0.0 0 1932-01-03 42 39 40.5 8.6 24 0 T 0.0 0 1932-01-04 42 36 39.0 7.2 26 0 0.00 0.0 0 1932-01-05 42 36 39.0 7.4 26 0 0.02 0.0 0 1932-01-06 59 39 49.0 17.5 16 0 1.02 0.0 0 1932-01-07 59 37 48.0 16.7 17 0 0.06 0.0 0 1932-01-08 38 34 36.0 4.8 29 0 0.20 T 0 1932-01-09 40 35 37.5 6.4 27 0 0.04 0.0 0 1932-01-10 40 33 36.5 5.5 28 0 T T 0 1932-01-11 39 30 34.5 3.6 30 0 0.00 0.0 0 1932-01-12 51 34 42.5 11.7 22 0 T 0.0 0 1932-01-13 72 50 61.0 30.3 4 0 0.04 0.0 0 1932-01-14 73 45 59.0 28.4 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 1932-01-15 64 46 55.0 24.5 10 0 0.01 0.0 0 1932-01-16 46 38 42.0 11.6 23 0 T 0.0 0 1932-01-17 50 40 45.0 14.6 20 0 T 0.0 0 1932-01-18 52 36 44.0 13.7 21 0 T 0.0 0 1932-01-19 42 34 38.0 7.7 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 1932-01-20 52 33 42.5 12.2 22 0 0.00 0.0 0 1932-01-21 48 41 44.5 14.3 20 0 0.04 T 0 1932-01-22 58 42 50.0 19.8 15 0 T 0.0 0 1932-01-23 52 43 47.5 17.3 17 0 0.35 0.0 0 1932-01-24 54 38 46.0 15.8 19 0 0.00 0.0 0 1932-01-25 41 32 36.5 6.2 28 0 0.00 0.0 0 1932-01-26 44 29 36.5 6.2 28 0 0.07 0.0 0 1932-01-27 44 40 42.0 11.6 23 0 0.07 0.0 0 1932-01-28 47 34 40.5 10.1 24 0 0.00 0.0 0 1932-01-29 49 36 42.5 12.0 22 0 0.21 0.0 0 1932-01-30 55 30 42.5 11.9 22 0 0.12 0.0 0 1932-01-31 30 20 25.0 -5.7

I almost tagged you the other day to see what the feeling was in your thread. My sense in talking to the public is that the really cold Christmas, coming at a time that gave people something to talk about at family gatherings, has gone a long way in hiding how bad the met winter has been. We are two thirds done with it...but still, it is certainly not over yet.

MDT got to 54, CXY got to 57 or 58. Even MUI got to 54 or 55. Clouds hung a bit tough though which squelched the chance at 60. Models had the temps getting 55-60 which ended up being pretty spot on.

I said they had a chance to get to 60 based on the models predicting temps to be 55-60. Pretty spot on post by me. Cxy got to 57 or 58. You quoted your good friends the nws.

You did not type fast enough. LOL. GFS pulled way back on Sig cold for the weekend. Pretty pedestrian on 18Z.

Tulips coming up here....they are not going to like this weekend.

In the "maybe" column, HRRR throwing some light snow bones this way Wed AM. @Mount Joy SnowmanI did not think about a midnight high tonight re: the final Jan average temp. Looked right past it but HRRR and 3K have a temp in the mid 40's at midnight tonight.

Blizz will not be happy! LOL. Yesterday he was not happy with me posting the modeled (and currently verifying) temps for today so be prepared to get it! LOL.

FWIW, the record high for every day in Jan, except 1, is 60 or over...with 6 being 70 or over.

Only 4 from being 10 over your zone!

Sun has broken out here as well and has skyrocketed up to 55.

The HRRR has knocked a couple degrees off the high today. Low to mid 50's now (most of LSV).

51 and filtered sun here.

GFS Sat AM

Yea, tomorrow hurts the chances for #2 so #3 seems more likely right now....MDT is also lagging a bit behind in temps so far today.

Thursday evening low on GFS moving by to the south....and despite the PV nearby, thermals still not cold enough for snow at the norther extent of the precip shield. Sheesh.

Do not have to go outside in Chicago so you should be good. LOL