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Bubbler86

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  1. Bubbler86
    Down to 44 here now. Cold air press is charging,
  2. Bubbler86
    Oh goodness, I was more mocking JB not you!
  3. Bubbler86
    Rain appears to have wrapped up here and the temps are falling...down to 50.
  4. Bubbler86
    Sort of weather related. Both Pivotal and TT are CPU and Mem hogs if you sit on a model panel screen. Did not notice it until now. If you have an underpowered PC....
  5. Bubbler86
    One could argue that the continued fake snowstorms showing on the models, albeit it LR, is based on history and data that is not valid anymore...or at least this year.
  6. Bubbler86
    LOL, ouch! Throwing salt on wounds this AM, eh? I will say this....JB's punt based on an unpredictable, LR MJO forecast looks silly. 2 days later and the same LR MJO forecast is trending toward being two zones away from what he based his thoughts on. It is not ok to post 384 snow maps but 384 MJO maps are ok to punt off? LOL
  7. Bubbler86
    From 57 at midnight, 54 right now, to potential teens here tomorrow AM. Southern PA Winter 22-23. MDT surprisingly in the 40's just after midnight but did get up to 57 this AM. Both the Euro and CMC have a boundary runner winter storm 7-8 days out as the models continue to struggle with where the boundary sets up for late Feb.
  8. Bubbler86
    MDT's high was 58 so far today....between midnight and 1AM. Sometimes they adjust it up so could be 59.
  9. Bubbler86
    Is that red dot in Southern PA Cashtown?
  10. Bubbler86
    Has crept down to 48 here with light rain.
  11. Bubbler86
    The Euro leaves us with something to watch as light snow spreads into the LSV (temps are marginal) NEXT Saturday leaving this complicated map at the end of its run. Temps are quite cold a few days before this period. Can that wave in the S/W work with the cold air dome pressing down a day or two later?
  12. Bubbler86
    EC is low 60's during this same time period. 15-20 degree difference vs. the CMC and GFS. It does punch up to near 70 that evening though. LOL
  13. Bubbler86
    Either that or Trump put up a wall to keep the radar out.
  14. Bubbler86
    That matches the day MDT's high of 79 for Feb.
  15. Bubbler86
    Of note is this shocker CMC panel which also has the ebb and flow from cold to warm the next two weeks...one very warm ebb. It has never hit 80 at MDT in Feb (recorded history.)
  16. Bubbler86
    Opps, I just posted similar...with some details about the alternating warm back to cold/normal look
  17. Bubbler86
    12Z GFS is the shit as far as snow. Still has a series of cold/near normal snaps over the next 2 weeks but then cutters flush it out. It goes back and forth like that the rest of the month.
  18. Bubbler86
    Nooners, rainy and 52.
  19. Bubbler86
    Same here. I wonder how much the cold nights coming will shock it back.
  20. Bubbler86
    Despite that large Yellow area, the small area of blue in N Central PA kept the state out of the top 10 somehow.
  21. Bubbler86
    The NWS just took a dump on us.
  22. Bubbler86
    USGS is monitoring our area for potential degradation in drought "rankings" going into Spring. A small area of Southern PA is also now back into D0 drought status. With that being said we are currently rated better over all than 1 year ago at this time.
  23. Bubbler86
    What happened to all those analogs and erroneous misunderstandings/over valuing of long range MJO forecasting that JB gave us earlier this winter?
  24. Bubbler86
    I am hoping that the average is close to 38ish-39ish when we get to next weekend. Models have another quick shot of near or slightly above normal weather mid-week next week. A week from today the Euro keeps MDT below 40 all day with mixed precip just north of MDT.
  25. Bubbler86
    A bit over halfway through the month and MDT is currently 6.4 degrees AN and stands tied for the #7 warmest Feb in MDT recorded history if the month ended today. With several periods of colder weather progged to be on the way I am not sure MDT has a shot to challenge for the record or even stay in the top 10. Of note from the top 10 as of today, 7 have occurred since 1990 with 4 of the 10 in the last 6 years! 1932, 1990 and 1998 also stand out when looking at Jan and Feb.
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