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Bubbler86

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  1. Bubbler86
    Their conclusion suggests it could have happened but "not sure" as there was a high degree of spatial variability (different but closely related locations had very different results.)
  2. Bubbler86
    The blinds were shut! LOL. Thanks for the update. I was curious. Maybe Saturday.
  3. Bubbler86
    There is actually some blocking as early as next week so still worth watching model runs and tracking. The main thing on the GFS for me is how cold it is for much of the beginning of March. There is a 1-2 day period where it warms up due to S/W flow from a cutter going to our west but it is winter cold after that.
  4. Bubbler86
    This is what I was showed which made it appear different. I was DM'ed by someone in the Upper NY thread. LOL. Technically a sliver of PA is in upper on that map but prior to this Dm convo from NY I had always considered Williamsport the USV.
  5. Bubbler86
    You mention USV and I was corrected on that earlier this year so curious what you guys call the USV? Apparently the USV is actually in NY per a NY'er that corrected me. I never knew that, but I think my view was PA specific.
  6. Bubbler86
    The lack of cold air around would indeed make your comment very true but at this point, any winter storm is a bonus so not going to quibble. GFS wise the high is in a good position so verbatim I doubt you or I switch to plain rain with that track, but we do lose 850 and 700's.
  7. Bubbler86
    It sure does. So does the CMC. Just have to hope "base state" the models are basing it on does not change. Will the blocking really be there.
  8. Bubbler86
    The question is, does Elliott see it? LOL
  9. Bubbler86
    Congrats! ICON got this one right. LOL. No matter how low the initial stats, this could be a stat padder. LOL.
  10. Bubbler86
    Icon showing the early week system redeveloping to our south and changing some of PA back to snow. Blocking FTW.
  11. Bubbler86
    Top 5 winter storm today for 22/23 so far.
  12. Bubbler86
    I think early Spring is quickly exiting stage left IF LR guidance is correct in keeping blocking more effective well into March. Whether PA sees snow is super subjective but as of today, coolish if not cold looks like it stands a much better chance after we get through this week (except when cutters spoil the cold regime, LOL).
  13. Bubbler86
    We are back to plain Jane rain. How much did @Cashtown_Coop get?
  14. Bubbler86
    In other news the storm as a whole is causing havoc on the countries flights...guess who has the most cancelled flights? I will give a hint. You find your seat by lining up in the cow line and rushing to get the best one.
  15. Bubbler86
    LOL. I had said bust in a previous post but in defense of the zones, it did have snow in them.
  16. Bubbler86
    Actually accumulating on the mulch and shed roof now but never going to accumlate on the roads at 35. Sun angle and all.
  17. Bubbler86
    It is not accumulating here with the surface temps but nice to see in the air at least. Snow TV. Frozen being reported about an hour south of me south of Frederick.
  18. Bubbler86
    Moderate snow in Rouzerville now. Full on bust mode in effect.
  19. Bubbler86
    Captain of the column cooling you are. This system will go down as one that trended colder as it got closer.
  20. Bubbler86
    Rememebr that is what Voyager and his gang consider snow showers.
  21. Bubbler86
    Rain/snow mix here now. 37
  22. Bubbler86
    #WeWereVoyager'ed
  23. Bubbler86
    Blizzard Warning.... for Los Angeles County, California.
  24. Bubbler86
    35 and Mostly Cloudy.
  25. Bubbler86
    Any snow in July counts for 22/23, FYI.
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