Bubbler86

MMM, mashed taters. I am hungry, bro. Wait, you were not excited in December when some prognosticators said it was the best pattern in years?

Yea so far so good, both at 500 and surface components. A day or two ago there was no storm on the board. This AM a cutter on March 10th and 11th which has disappeared with the GFS focusing on a different piece of energy/different timing. Finally, at 12Z we are left with a Miller situation. I am greedy and would like both March 10th and 15/16 to work out.

Nooners, mostly cloudy and 54. Parsing the models, the CMC moved the Monday threat a bit north so as of now it takes snow out of PA 4 days from now. Both the GFS and CMC go with a ridge in the west/trough in the east look 7 days out. Quite chilly with a threat being suppressed on the 9th and 10th. Parsing fantasy land on the GFS 5 days later, a dual barrel system approaches PA with a dying cutting wave that ruins what would otherwise be a PA wide major snowstorm with heavy snow confined to about 1/2 of the Western and Northern portions of PA when the block does its thing and forces transfer to the southern piece in NC. Initially this is nothing like the 6Z which focused on different waves though did end up with a similar result. Changes in 6 hours I would guess.

For tomorrows event, 12Z HRRR has a burst of snow for the western LSV up into central PA (after starting as rain) and a burst of sleet down to the SE parts of this forum. Most of the top 2/3 of PA then convert to a sleet bomb when the main area of precip moves over Sat AM/overnight Fri, while the bottom 1/3 stays rain. Would be a nice event for the more Northern areas of our forum. Nam not as friendly with winter precip for tomorrow.

I like it! Throw down the gauntlet!

The GFS is too far north and the NWS does seem to go with the model flying their colors for MR. I think you might be in a good position LSV wise for tomorrow.

The CMC has been teasing with a surprise snow Monday night as a piece of energy (clipper like) comes at us from the Northwest. GFS has it too far north at this point. Something to watch after our winter threat tomorrow.

Wet here at 44 with with .20" of rain overnight.

What the...I go to play tennis and come back to see the GFS ups the ante Friday to 1-3" for ITT and Canderson and no mentions? LOL

Well, Elliott punting early Spring (Met spring, today is the first day of Spring) is about as much as a lock as you are going to get. Will March be colder than Feb and Jan? That would be something. I heard two posters from Baltimore and NJ are pissed right now.

I took out the bad news part of it if it came over right. Just the "hail mary" which is what March '93/March '23 would be.

If that trough catches the Gorilla, I think up it goes. That could be an analogy to this video as to saving winter at the last moment. ✂️ Winter Storm ITT - YouTube

Going to need to throw that Gorilla some vines to climb....maybe this trough can help. Voyager may get jealous not having the trough to himself anymore.

Euro day 10 has a southern and central Texas snowstorm...on the subject of not normal weather.

I missed this one but did see him touting snow the second week of April (not sure if on Ground or flying).

48 and scattered clouds for nooners.

You are quickly becoming Maytown's second most famous son.

I just read on the MA that JB is back on the wagon (or off the wagon then back on?) and is now touting a combo Chuckwagon --> ITT two storm scenario the second week of March.

12Z GFS continues to trend toward some front end action for Friday. 1.7 right over the 'Burg. Fv3 has a similar look though more smoothed out. Other suites are more mix to rain or rain the for LSV. Forecasting wise, not looking great regardless of a few models trending toward more snow. The initial WAA looks less impressive as we go on.

It is my opinion. I also do not like kids being in the dark nor it being dark close to 9AM.

Looking forward to when the Fv3 goes "live" and becomes to the go to model. Will be nice to get some of its predicted weather :-). This is actually very much Mag like as to his suggestion of what could happen (in my reading of his info).

Your 7PM mail delivery person may need to shelter in place again.

The question is, do the clocks change back in fall?

Gonna have to pick one of the storms.... CMC and GFS have several. 32 and pretty heavy frost this AM.