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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Honestly, having the EC side with snow right now is probably a bad sign. Especially the last 1-2 months. Not sure why other than to say we are in a pattern that it does not excel.
  2. Bubbler86
    That was before Brexit.
  3. Bubbler86
    EC trended North with the main band of snow tonight though it was seemingly not as much about vort position as it was ground temps and precip intensity as there is mixed precip further down in the central and southern LSV even poking into MD. Does have several LSV 1" lolipops.
  4. Bubbler86
    Late nooners, very sunny 45 and breezy with 15-20MPH frequent sustained. A bit chilly.
  5. Bubbler86
    We are the donut hole of the good pattern. Just a 12Z comment not a prediction or way to try and suggest anything.
  6. Bubbler86
    Here is the GFS run in a nutshell regardless of improvements from earlier.
  7. Bubbler86
    Yep, they are really close together. To hope for two potential phases in that short of time is not likely so they both go other places than we want.
  8. Bubbler86
    ITT2 has no real way to climb later in the GFS run. It really tries after it goes over Florida and sits off the SE coast for several panels. Mixed news for the spring flingers as the suppression is generally caused by a cold dome of high pressure/quite broad trough in the NE corner of the US. The trough is initially positively tilted which is not good for big storm chances of course. By the time it goes neutral it is to our east.
  9. Bubbler86
    Yea, I agree improvements on both. The resulting low on this run of the GFS mauls Southern NE as it stalls/tucks. I think we need this displaced even further south for a big snow here...and to transfer earlier.
  10. Bubbler86
    12Z GFS spreads moderate snow through much of PA Friday afternoon into the evening. Much of the LSV and SE a bit warm and a mix or rain. Primary makes it too far North and West to hope for a big coastal development scenario for us with ITT1 as the low spins up off thr NJ coast. CMC was better than 0Z but both ITT1 and ITT2 start to spin up too far to our east as in both cases.
  11. Bubbler86
    12Z Icon forms a low (ITT1) off the Southern VA/ N NC coast this weekend but snow is confined to far East PA where the rates allow overcoming of warm boundary layers. Just read a tweet from JB who said this will/could be the 3rd coldest March ever and the coldest since 1960.
  12. Bubbler86
    3K Nam now brings accumulating snow into Lanco over the next 24 hours...for the MJS car topper request this AM. FV3, HRRR and 3K all on board for Lanco to see something. Rgem not so much. The main band on the 3K is farther north than the other Meso's I looked at. This wave was a N PA mauler late week which folded to NY only system only to come back and now POTENTIALLY get snow into SE PA.
  13. Bubbler86
    12Z HRRR Kuch for tonight and daytime tomorrow..like yesterday, this is in two waves though wave 2 fizzles while entering the LSV.
  14. Bubbler86
    The WWWD.
  15. Bubbler86
  16. Bubbler86
    Frosty 25 this AM.
  17. Bubbler86
    NAM and HRRR both actualy have two "bands" of scattered snow or snow rain mix for the LSV Monday Night and then again Tue. GFS has ITT-1, 2, 3 and 4 (not necessarily snow on each but potential storms and potential snow.)
  18. Bubbler86
    If you have been in, they highlight doing stuff out in the forest. The one thing I do not like is no table service for ordering.
  19. Bubbler86
    Yea, cashmason got it. Not really in the forest. It is literally two miles from my house. Lots of eats and beers.
  20. Bubbler86
    Woof
  21. Bubbler86
    Michaux Brewery. 49 and sunny nooners. Actually windier here than yesterday.
  22. Bubbler86
    28 this Am with heavy frost. Has been a very frosty start to March here.
  23. Bubbler86
    G Ia guess sometimes you need more bucks to succeed.
  24. Bubbler86
    WW Whirling Dervish.
  25. Bubbler86
    Same here. Both at Rou and in WV right now. MUCH windier yesterday. Today is just a mild day.
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