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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. I am not suggesting it is cancelled just doing a model post mortem. I think it is better if we get a real cutter vs. 3 almost ITT's.
  2. The one thing a super bomb offshore risks is changing up the Vodka Cold/best since 1960 JB thoughts. Pulling ocean air from Georges Bank to the Baltimore Canyon is not exactly going to freeze us out. The lack of a system cutting to our northwest or north limits the chances for drainage into the country. Scanning through the 2M temp maps from 18Z yesterday vs. 18Z today shows a drastic difference.
  3. We have been tooting about your snow since last week...PA is PA. LOL.
  4. 18Z GFS spins up a monster off shore for ITT2. Some comments on the MA suggesting it "just missed". It may be a little worse than just missed IMO but you move the whole setup west a bit and we have a super storm. Mid 960's pressure for the fishes here. The GFS really does a similar thing all 3 ITT's. Make a run for the lakes then Miller B past us.
  5. The 3K snow map is crazy. A good ole namming up there.
  6. 18Z HRRR and 3K both stayed fairly steady on the location of the vort for tonight. The HRRR moved the main stripe of snow a tad south from 12Z. Some accums near ABE going into double digits on the 3K. Could be some pretty big totals in Central and NE PA and NJ if this stuff accumulates decently. Still some light stuff in the LSV on both...mix of light snow and light rain.
  7. Bastardi should be out with a whopper of a proclamation at some point today. The most recent thing up there is some (part of which is bad IMO but other may not think so) advise that Elon Musk posted.
  8. I literally posted the same thing right when you did, buy me a coke. LOL.
  9. ITT4 watching on from the Mountainous regions of the West US. Super blocky pattern. Prime for very large changes run to run as we have been seeing. Exciting.
  10. ITT2 actually backs down the North East coast a bit at the end and really "dampens" the mood for ITT3.
  11. ITT3 brewing at 222 but ITT2 still stalled in NE, just noticed that stall.
  12. Two chances in our pocket and more past ITT2. I personally wish ITT1 would not stall off the Eastern seaboard (unless a real triple phase happens which is a bit of a fantasy here.)
  13. If you look at 500, we would have work to do there for ITT2. Not much to really enegerize until it starts getting pulled east.
  14. Lgt snow over spreads PA Monday AM. Low stalls off the Carolinas with light mixed precip in much of PA Monday afternoon.
  15. Not great spacing IMO, that was what I did not like about that map above with two vorts so close. Low is sitting off SC so lets see what it does but no March '93 event for the whole east coast.
  16. Two Vorts in this position not something you see every day in the winter season. ITT1 stalled out in the Atlantic. Will someone say Fujiwara today?
  17. Looks like it missed the bus with no phase/capture/tuck/NE slamma.
  18. Assuming no coastal influence for the LSV from ITT1.
  19. My Euro is stuck at 114 but yea the trough looks to be negative at that point albeit further north than we want like you said.
  20. Early Saturday AM a line of WAA snow envelops the LSV on the 12Z EURO.
  21. Definitely suggests potential for some WAA possibilities.
  22. The stalling low has been shown on and off by a lot of models over the last few days. Talk about a possible bonanza win. Other than joking, how often has the word tuck been said this year? This truly is one of those situations where we are in the game.
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