Bubbler86

The low initially looked too "high" and but buffered down and Euro is a MA and LSV crowd pleaser. MA will complain about the ground truth, but this is the track they need so details can be worked out.

At 126 the Atlantic cyclone is pulling away and we have Northern and Southern Stream systems aiming at our area with a high drifting in from Central Canada.

At hour 114 we have a 973 spinning in the Atlantic and a 998 coming through the lower Ohio Valley/Upper TN Valley.

At hour 96, the Wave is pretty far off the Delmarva and it is still snowing in NJ. Most of PA, including the LSV, has 2-4" on the ground at this point. Our poor Pitt crew is the exception.

At 78 hours of the Euro, snow has spread into half of PA from a weak vort near the SW corner of PA. Canderson's final snow of the season streak ends at day 3. At 84 the low down near the NC/SC border in the Atlantic has taken over. Still snowing through much of PA

LOL, discussion in MA what the term flush hit means. A foot? 6"? LOL

UK for ITT1. I do not have the good access so can just see some of the info. Snow spreading into the LSV at the end from ITT2.

Agreed. Just for fun, check out the end of the GFS.

The CMC drops a whole bunch of snow on Myra with a system gathering day 10.

All these threats and sustained cold on all the suites really vindicates the talk of an ITT period coming up as the models are seeing the same thing, he did pattern recognition wise. Whether we get a KU-ITT is at question, but the chances are there.

Myra needs some of her stats padded. Nooners...39 and sunny.

It has been modeled but then the models waffle (both day to day and pattern forecasting such as the MJO) so not sure it happens but today's depcition is pretty extreme in the length of time it lasts. Over 1/3 of the month.

After seeing the cold thoughts relax on the GFS yesterday, they are back with a vengeance today. The northeastern 1/4 of the country is locked in winter with temps that would be normal for Jan over a very long stretch of the month.

By March standards, the GFS is back to being quite anomalous cold wise. In addition, without fail, a snow chance at 10 days.

Vodka cold for snow covered areas of North PA. 0.

It does snow in much of PA but the coastal is east bound.

Later on, the Icon spreads snow and rain over PA as a Chatanooga Choo Choo Approaches SW PA Sunday night while a new system forms off NC then heads east for a bit before being captured/phasing and pulled back toward New England. Not real impressive for most of us and even rain to start for NE. Having the low pivot back north is a big improvment from 0Z though.

Perusing the start of 12Z/Nooners. Nam has WAA snow in PA Friday afternoon but rain for the LSV. Low position is slightly south of 6Z. Too far out to put much stock in extrapolating IMO but not a lot of bagginess on the SE coast at hour 84 but some semblance of something near NC/SC. RGEM slightly further south with the blocked cutter and more bagineess in the SE allowing the LSV to stay snow at that time frame. RGEM has low forming on NC/VA border. Icon loser to the Nam and does not really form much south of us until it is heading to the East.

A departing cold mass makes a perfect way for a low to climb but not face suppression.

Mod-Hvy snow and 32 here right now. Looks like some good snows happening just west of Harrisburg. Pretty decent amount of snow for this far south.

The whole run is a veritable snow train. Ralph Wiggum is probably back to belt buckling.

32 here this Am. Saw it snowing overnight but no accums so not much to it.

On my phone but though hrrr and 3k showed at least an inch. Is it north of you on the maps? That heavy band is really skinny.

I figured @pawatch would have some good obs tonight.

Potentially exciting night for you guys. Even if you do not get 4", a 2-4" snow would be great this season.