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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. The Icon is the Virgina of models. Every now and then it stuns and gets one right. But most of the time it is just an overmatched entity that folds when it counts.
  2. And he was only playing because of COVID. He was nearing 30 I think. LOL. This was his 5th season.
  3. Bennett only picks players who will play his system and it leads to lack of athleticism and scoring. That turnover at the end was as comical as they come. Clark made the biggest pass in UVA history to help them win a title and one of (if not the) worst today.
  4. CMC has a well-placed high but a pipedream at this point. I guess the day matters for accums but not the column as much and it starts overnight.
  5. You can never trust a Virginia team with Tony Bennett at coach
  6. Euro starts off that "CMC snow system" as some LSV Ice next week....snow in NE PA again.
  7. Starting to warm up here. 51 now. HRRR has the highest temps occurring an hour before dark then rain comes in overnight.
  8. Our weather seems a lot more interesting than our Western neighbors apparently think it is. (This is their spring thread.)
  9. I do think its low temps forecast in Spring have verified better the last couple years. Will see how it goes this time. GFS is 5-8 degrees higher.
  10. CMC has 3 upcoming nights in the teens for the most of LSV. And a snowstorm next week FWIW. Other models cut that low farther north as of now.
  11. You picked Maryland to win it all? I just walked out and it is coat weather...breezy and chilly.
  12. Nooners. 45 and mostly sunny. Still a bit of chill in the air.
  13. People better get their boats to dock then! What is the biggest area of water in Maytown?
  14. When I am above you in the morning that is like one of those "Red Morning, sailors warning" things...the warmer air is coming.
  15. 32 this AM marking the 15th out of the last 16 days temp of freezing or below (Rou) and BN average days 14 of the last 15. The last 9 consecutive days have been BN using MDT's normal numbers. That probably ends today.
  16. He apologized and promised to be more pessimistic next year.
  17. Our plow driver may not allow it. I am not done watching so no punting here but the extreme day to day atmospheric shifts in the MR modeling is hard to forecast around.
  18. At least it will be cold. To me, not all agree, that is better than getting into the 70's now. Euro has a 5 day stretch for MDT, 6-7 for colder locales, of freezing or below at night and highs below or near normal.
  19. The roads just looked wet in that video :-) It is tough when the models (not just op's... Ensembles, MJO, pretty much any prognostication) flip so violently. The only LR forecasting method that has been reliable is the "it will continue to do the same as before" methodology.
  20. The 12Z Euro is comically different vs 24 hours ago. Now we have to wait one more hour for bad progs.
  21. We have gotten used to dismissing the GFS for a period but it is rolling with the hot hand right now. If you run through the GFS and CMC you will see they both have a breadbasket of the US low next week around this time and in both cases, though with different timing, the first piece of energy minors out and a second piece to the south takes over but still cuts. A weird depiction but right up the timing alley as you said.
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