Bubbler86

There is a fairly large complex NW of Williamsport but may slide north of the town.

Our temp has stopped at 77 here as well. It is quite gusty at 30-35 but we have gusted over 45 six times since New Years and over 50 three times. Looking at the radar and the HRRR, I am worried I may get shut out.

77 in Rou with some gusty winds. 20-25ish.

Sounds like they are buying into the nam depiction. On my phone as well.

Hrrr still not impressed. 3k has a short lived but intense line from the central and northern Lsv and North. Spares southern Lsv.

May see some 80's reports on wundermap.

Nooners and sunny as it can get....Dan's in Boonesboro MD is 70. 69 in Rou. Winds are fairly light.

We missed out on that heavy line in the North LSV. Wrapping up here. The run for 75 is on. 60 already and Sun already poking out.

Rain totals were sparse in the LSV if this map is right. We only had about 1/10th of an inch here. Need the Nam's to be right for rain later today (vs HRRR or Rgem)

Meso wise it is HRRR vs Nam right now with the Rgem sort of in between but not real impressive. The HRRR is almost totally dry in the LSV after 10AM. It has that appendage veering north of the LSV.

Yea, quite a large spread of time between the rain pulling out shortly and the second front coming this evening.

I was thinking today was going to be mostly sunny much of the afternoon....just based on the model depicts.

The GFS (and Gefs) has been signaling this chance for a good week now. That has meant squat this year but interesting to track if it gets closer.

Saturday is "get out of the house day". I am still mostly WFH.

Ha, ha, thanks. I will be away today so someone else will need to do the parsing later. The 6Z 3K Nam has a gust and squall line moving through the LSV around 7PM. The HRRR is much less impressive storm wise but does have generally windy conditions for a longer period. A spring sultry 58 here this AM.

Yep, it moved much of the action to our south.

The most impressive thing about the 18Z GFS are these 2PM Temps.

RUIN Easter?

The HRRR in particular changed quite a bit...the 3K lowered winds in the LSV quite a bit as well. It could all come back at 0Z just like the EC Easter Nor'easter winter saving istorm could be gone.

18Z Nam and HRRR both downplayed tomorrow a bit in LSV wise vs. 12Z ...both winds and storms. Line of storms a bit beefier Central (Burg and North) and N PA on 3K while it is really nothing on the HRRR.

The people that gave up following weather and models will not like that.

I like their summaries at the bottom...listing the big cities

LSV adjoining counties in MD have the high wind watch now.

Oh, I was not bashing, sorry if it came across that way. Yea, scary out there. Rain just entering Franklin county right now. Hope some of the heavier stuff can make it here but HRRR has it faltering as it downslopes. A raw 45 out.

Yes, that was what I posted this AM as to what the Meso's were showing. A bit windy weather most of tomorrow than a 2-3 hour period of heavier winds then back down again. I think gusts can do damage, but we get over 50MPH gusts here quite often over the year due to the elevation and, when positioned right, being upslope when winds careen in from the west. Lots of branches and such and risk of power outages but not much house damage. A constant/sustained wind in the 50's and 60's will definitely wear on and pull up loose shingles if it goes on too long.