Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Well except for a very shallow wave that drops 1 to at the most 2" of snow for Southern PA next Saturday, the Euro is a snoozer. The cutter later next week even manages to skip much of this forum leaving little precip. Stark difference from the copious qpf GFS. Things get interesting after 300 but...after 300.
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If she is going to stay tied to the EC, expect a second guess map soon (down)
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It seems when we get "busy" about 1/2 dozen people from Lanco pop up. Hardees-Har-Har!
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Great story, are you sure Carl is not one of the older posters here?
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Hahah. On paper this matches more what happened this past weekend. GEM has a warmish clipper around the same time so the confidence of major changes is quite high.
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Event two next week. It will change shortly but for viewing
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It is not cold going into it either. But is our next trackable event IMO.
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Temp sensitive system moves along the south 7 days from now on the GFS. Turns to a soaking rain for most of the LSV but fall line not far away.
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GFS has a coastal storm for the taking at the time stamp below but this guy is just too late again
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That would put us number 8 then end of the month. But decent chance we seem "some" qpf on Thursday. There is also a potential coastal this time next week.
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No love on the Icon and rgem so not a lot confidence with other globals being any better.
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In fairness we were not near the WAA portion of the event which is the easy side. But if there is going to be a surprise, any potential pull would be more likely.
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I am not seeing that unless you are assuming no precip through the rest of the month
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DCA back in the game on the Nam. Will make the rest of the 12Z a tiny bit more interesting.
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Sizeable move north on the tug.
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12Z Nam coming in with the SLP down near the gulf again (bad for waa) and the 540 line in NC...so not looking like much in improvements at this point.
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This is two decent snows events in the last 48ish hours (for parts of the forum.)
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There are opportunities in the MR plus it could still snow some this Thursday even with the current depicts....with the 500 pass.
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As far as I am concerned, this was/is just a normal tracking period of a potential storm. It was more comments from people vs. models that made this event seem a bit overblown.
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It is indeed. It is based on Googles 'DeepMind'. I may have missed ond but when I checked, I did not see any Graphcasts predicts that showed sig snow here.
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BOTH Ai's on Pivotal.
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Sorry about the deaths and sickness. Tough combo. Only 18 this am down this way.
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PV down into the heartland of the country at 66 on the Icon. No bueno.
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Icon is slightly worse through 48.
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I hope the Icon has the boundary up just to see how people rationalize (not you or anyone here really.)
