Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Temp sensitive system moves along the south 7 days from now on the GFS. Turns to a soaking rain for most of the LSV but fall line not far away.
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GFS has a coastal storm for the taking at the time stamp below but this guy is just too late again
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That would put us number 8 then end of the month. But decent chance we seem "some" qpf on Thursday. There is also a potential coastal this time next week.
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No love on the Icon and rgem so not a lot confidence with other globals being any better.
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In fairness we were not near the WAA portion of the event which is the easy side. But if there is going to be a surprise, any potential pull would be more likely.
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I am not seeing that unless you are assuming no precip through the rest of the month
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DCA back in the game on the Nam. Will make the rest of the 12Z a tiny bit more interesting.
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Sizeable move north on the tug.
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12Z Nam coming in with the SLP down near the gulf again (bad for waa) and the 540 line in NC...so not looking like much in improvements at this point.
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This is two decent snows events in the last 48ish hours (for parts of the forum.)
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There are opportunities in the MR plus it could still snow some this Thursday even with the current depicts....with the 500 pass.
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As far as I am concerned, this was/is just a normal tracking period of a potential storm. It was more comments from people vs. models that made this event seem a bit overblown.
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It is indeed. It is based on Googles 'DeepMind'. I may have missed ond but when I checked, I did not see any Graphcasts predicts that showed sig snow here.
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BOTH Ai's on Pivotal.
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Sorry about the deaths and sickness. Tough combo. Only 18 this am down this way.
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PV down into the heartland of the country at 66 on the Icon. No bueno.
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Icon is slightly worse through 48.
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I hope the Icon has the boundary up just to see how people rationalize (not you or anyone here really.)
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Yep. Too many reasons why this is not working when it is as easy as watching the 540 for WAA chances. People saying it is over on the MA. It is no different now than it was an hour ago. They will still watch the models every 6 hours.
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Boundary on the 0Z Nam is well south of 18z. Takes away some of the WAA options even though it will still hit SE PA on the curve.
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When things started going south, there were comments here before some of the MA posters.... that have a lot of similarity. Not saying anyone copied vs. pointing out people on more than board are not just jumping from model to model. JB is not to the level of this board IMO.
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You ought to look at your home skills also.
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Its over. The last model run was bad. But if the next model run is good then it was never over until the next bad model run. Science, schmicience
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Some forecasters will not use globals within 72 hours. They are a blunt object vs the fine tuned meso's. Does not mean any one model is right.
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It's over jns. We do not need science follow models.
