Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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GFS back to what it was showing yesterday at this time with a low cutting into the US mid section and precip minoring our as it heads east, but GEM going with the GFS AI with a snow to ice storm for PA (ground hogs.)
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Pillow may be going for -10 to -15?
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Likely story! The snow and icicles targeted you!
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We made it yesterday but models were actually a tad cooler here today. Only 25 here right now
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Off our favorite small town, both the GFS and Euro Op's trended positively for the Ground Hog Day bash. A winter storm for this forum which all variety of precip. The track for the low to cut was shifted East again and we get over running into cold air supplied by a departing high. Not pretty but trackable.
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It was TIm B who was secretly there in the Pillow area.
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That'll be $5 please. For $5 more dollars I will tell you it probably goes below 0 tonight but if you do not, we can call it even.
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Low of 14, but up up to 21. New coating of snow on the ground.
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I would not put this situation in a high possibility for us. Really fighting the cold air wanting to leave.
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But we are right back to previous years now where Voyager will not let the trough move out of his old area. It makes wild model runs from period to period.
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HH GFS is a most of PA Ice Storm on Ground Hogs weekend. Stay tuned for the next evolution of the unforecastable period.
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Also noticed that the GFS Ai is much more progressive with the Ground Hog Weekend threat.
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Progs have been playing around with a little clipper front love on Tue. May see some flakes flying. Kuch's out to 1/2" for Canderson with temps near 30.
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I suspect you stay above 0 tonight. Not even the Rgem drives you down all that low.
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You can take it through a car wash when it is 25. At least not let it sit on there.
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I am blaming this post as to why I soared above freezing today. You tempted the heat. MDT did hold to a 25 or 26 so far so they were 3-4 below guidance.
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I fear we will be left with just piles here by Monday if not Sunday. Anything left Sunday is going to take a beating with some possible 40's. It is too bad we could not sneak a snow in before the next 3-4 day cold attack next week. Later next week is looking downright frigid on some guidance.
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Looks like THV is sporting a 37 difference right now being at 29 with a low of -8. Good Ole THV. LOL.
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Just hit freezing here. Temp is flying up.
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If MDT has any East or Northly winds Sat AM, their record low of 0 (or -0 as the records have it) is at risk.
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Euro cuts out that first piece of energy so far west that our "system" is actually a new low that forms in the gulf and rides the apps. That would be JNS wet special.
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I was not questioning your temp, but the NWS temps I looked at are pointing toward it getting into the mid to upper 20's still. Even if not 29, 26 or better is fine for the forecast. THV is making a run for 30 after being -8 this AM.
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MDT is 20-22 and CXY 22-24.
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Icon, GFS and CMC all have the Final Week of January Setback on their panels still but different days. Timing and length is the key to our potential Groundhog Day winter storm. Here is GFS
