Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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The king is dead already? Post a week is a bit long for AI but we are right at the cusp right now.
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Trended a bit North so not as juicy for us right now.
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I was figuring 12-15:1 with .6" qpf losing only .1" qpf before it was cold enough. Really hard to extrapolate with the smoothing and lack of details.
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Verbatim I think the Euro AI is a Mecs here. 8-12". About half is after dark as well.
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It was actually a 2 if it matters to you.
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The MA board was asleep at the wheel. Moans and groans over there when a snow storm was shown here.
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LNS dropped from 8-9 to 3-4 in 10 min.
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Timing is 12-24 hours off the Euro Ai but Gem also has a snow storm next weekend. GFS AI was leading the was on this one but has now reverted off it right when some other suites join. GFS AI is only been run randomly so hard to follow trends on it.
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@mitchnickisn't the Euro AI a flush snow storm next weekend? Folded to the Canadian. 6Z next Sunday went from near 50 in the middle of the night Sat night (2 runs ago) to 2-4" snow, with more earlier on Sat, and upper 20's. It's your baby so thought I would ask.
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Down to 8 here so far. Really cold to the east on wundermap. Below zero just north of Harrisburg and a lot of 0-5 south of town. Mt Joy, E-Town, Mount Wolf all on the Cusp of a Wundermap below zero night. Myra taking it on the chin. Most of Gettysburg area hovering around 0 right now as well. MDT down to 2 or 3 and THV -2 or -3.
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They are gfs whores. Euro is a snow
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Dropped 3 degrees in an hour. Down to 13.
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My predict for your low tonight is 7. 3 weeks ago 7 would have caused newspaper headlines, now it is ho hum. Lots of below zeroes around the area tomorrow.
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Down to 16 already.
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Timing on this would be a school closer for some of the LSV. Missed us here but still time to trend south. 3-5 for @Blizzard of 93, Pillow, The Burg, JNS.
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Just basing that on your other reports this week. Rgem has you 2-4 degrees and you have been running 10+ below forecasts.
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Accumulating in the shower, eh?
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Yea, we lost a good 2-4" due to it which as why I was surprised you forgot.
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I think you were in the mid to upper 30's on Sunday :-)
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At the end of the day, the EC never gives up on the SW trough.
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Way out there but EC gets the boundary closer to where we would want it after the cutters.
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EC is cutters ball for Ground Hog. Not even that much rain actually. Congrats Wisconsin.
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People who said we stay below freezing until AT LEAST Sat were on the limb with that statement.
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If we can get that Wed clipper to tilt a bit south we have a nice WAA snow to track next week (LSV). Not there yet but as is MSV is in the game right now. Edit, actually the Red Hot Gem does get the LSV in the game. Red Hot is what you call a model when cherry picking.
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I do not like the flopping back to the previous solution that the GFS just did. If the Euro shows a low forming on the front in the far SE, that is where I would bet for now as well.
