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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Yea I am using MDT and the 30 year adjustments they do. MDT had the 11th coldest Dec since 1995/in the last 30. All time it was the 74th Coldest Dec out of 137 putting it a bit below the middle line.
  2. The EPS (and GFS to some extent) looked awfully cold with its mean temps. Starting to think we have a shot at a BN Feb. I mentioned this because it would give met winter a clean sweep which was not on most peoples forecasts. Of course I could screw myself for using ensemble temps but I think that is a good place to use them.
  3. D2 is just ho-hum for you now. I doubt the rain Fri will change this much next week but a second soaker could.
  4. Train tracks set for a "Here comes the boom". Need the train now. Lows -3 to 7ish the morning of the 12th (Sorry Voyager, just a prog through)
  5. MA LR Thread, Line one. MA LR Thread, Line one please.
  6. Many people only post positive stuff. GFS was not good. Euro not starting off good with the 5th storm.
  7. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 329 AM EST Thu Jan 30 2025 PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-302030- /O.NEW.KBGM.WW.Y.0009.250131T0700Z-250131T1400Z/ Bradford-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne- Pike-Southern Wayne- Including the cities of Montrose, Scranton, Sayre, Damascus, Towanda, Hallstead, Milford, Wilkes-Barre, Hazleton, Tunkhannock, Honesdale, and Equinunk 329 AM EST Thu Jan 30 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations around a light glaze. Localized amounts up to a tenth of an inch of ice will be possible, especially in the higher elevations. * WHERE...Bradford, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Northern Wayne, Pike, Southern Wayne, Susquehanna, and Wyoming Counties. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 9 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Very slippery sidewalks, roads and bridges are possible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Prepare for possible power outages. The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorist to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts Pennsylvania roadways. Visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadways, and traffic conditions. Binghamton more gung ho to the northern than CTP is.
  8. Gem has two much less amped lows next week, both rain for most of PA but the boundary is in place for low 3.
  9. After the winter mix to rain next week, the GFS goes into a suppressively cold regime for several days with highs in the 30's and lows in the teens/low 20's. Nothing blocking the next low that cuts. Not a great run for snow. Plenty cold later next week though.
  10. You should start the Spring thread on March 1 as it may jive more with want you are hoping for...instead of starting the winter thread. ha. Sorry you are depressed about it.
  11. GFS still pushed the boundary/540 line south as the precip arrives on the 5th so we get a non snow winter storm that changes into a LOT of rain heading into the 6th.
  12. 12Z Icon not even close on the 5th/6th. Even Northern PA and most of NY is too warm.
  13. Yes, the GFS has been leaking with the placement as well. It was much better 24-36 hours ago.
  14. I had posted above the 0Z Euro AI looked good too. A bit of a split in suites right now.
  15. On the flip side the GFS AI and Icon are straight up cutters for the 5th/6th.
  16. Yea, still lot of opportunities to track and see what we can come up with. Euro Ai is very wet and seemingly cold enough for a decent snow or ice storm the 5th into the 6th. The next one is rain on the AI.
  17. 30-40 min before hypothermia. One of the time's this cold weather is bad for someone.
  18. Yes thanks, I saw. An airplane crash is a scary proposition and I hope (assuming they died) it was quickly and without agony. Now the agony is for their family and friends :-(. Each time I fly I think about it as one is so very much not in control in those situations. I also wonder if this was an error or not.
  19. 22 this AM. Prayers to all involved in the AA plane crash. The first plane tragedy in our country in quite some time.
  20. Some small but intense squalls in Northern Cumberland County.
  21. That graphic on Pivotal looks a bit like a Simon Says game.
  22. If you combine the GFS and the Euro you have a lot of tracking the next two weeks. LOL.
  23. R-Ville Jack from MA. The higher numbers make people happier.
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