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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. It is an all day Snow Storm for much of Eastern PA. Accums only impressive south though. Low is closer to the coast than yesterday at 12Z.
  2. The Nam is going to be plowable for Southern LSV but the 3K not as north so not sure I sharpen the lows yet.
  3. Yep, but I agree they will probably go a little BN this week.
  4. Like yesterday, 12Z is the time for the Nam to go norther again
  5. Temps are actually AN for Feb at MDT right now....through yesterday. A slim margin though only at only .2.
  6. HRRR joins the meso's showing a light accumulating snow Thursday AM for the LSV, especially south side. We are talking 1" or less here though the timing and temps in the teens and low 20's "could" cause rush hour issues.
  7. 11 this AM. Mesos's are picking up on the Thur moisture with the 500 pass. Nam is the highest but other mesos are showing it as well.
  8. Some people who say ignore the nam (which it is wrong a lot) are all over loving it if they like what it shows. 4 major plane crashes in less than 3 weeks now.
  9. GFS drops almost 1/2" here and .1" on Canderson and Mitch (or close) with 500 pass. Haha
  10. GFS does have light snow into SW PA at 45. Not a major difference but something,
  11. Don't be sore just because the Nam gives me a white Wednesday! :-)
  12. This got a chuckle, the Ventusky weather model app has a big addition that will help forecast accuracy. They now offer the Nam..as of 2/15/2025! LOL. https://my.ventusky.com/guide/news/high-resolution-nam-model-now-available-for-more-detailed-weather-forecasts-36/
  13. Although the precip field did not change much the Euro AI's presentation of the low moved north and the strength is up a few mb's.
  14. It is through 48 on pivotal and it is a smidge south. Just not a huge fan of global models for a situation 36 hours away.
  15. Does not look like the Icon or rgem are joining the party though getting a bit late for Icon.
  16. Did you notice it got WAA snow over us/prior to any tug from the west? Would need a HUGE adjustment for us to get snow from a coastal but I would take 1-2" of white powder with a little more bump.
  17. No reason if you have the time. Making absolute statements about it is no good! LOL. (People saying it is definitely this or definitely that)
  18. Plows down for far south PA. Looks like Dt's first call.
  19. I agree, I see no torch but I think we have highs in the 50's and 60's before the month is out. I am not at all calling Spring but think we do have some temp variation...more so than we did through much of winter. One thing I like to look at the ensembles for is mean temps and the EPS and GEPS are pretty much AN straight through (for highs) after this week. I do not think we get to 45-50 every single day, the variability is what I am hoping for in saying we "should" have some precip chances.
  20. I had commented above that I think we start getting more precip chances soon (could very well be rain or snow) and that is predicated more on the old fashioned, though scientifically solid, premise that as more drastic temp changes and differences become more prevalent in late winter/early spring, precip will follow. I do not think it is wall-to-wall cold over the next 2-3 weeks.
  21. I think we have at least one system with some decent qpf before the month is out. Decent would be 1/4" or more.
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