Bubbler86

Quite the turn around in the last 18 hours. It looked like the Team SER was about the take control and now the GFS is running 2/5 under us. Some big changes. Were it not for a lack of cold air, the 6Z GFS would be a train of snow storms vs. the ice to rain scenarios they show right now for the 5th and 9th (not much rain on the 9th.) 3 winter storms on the 6Z GFS between now and Valentines day.

The video I saw of the atc controllers showed the screen graphic of the two entities going straight for each other and I heard some "light" doubt in the atc's voice when he asked the copter if they had visual and were going around behind. I am surprised there was not more angst seeing them going at each other even if he thought the copter was 1 to 2 hundred feet lower. I was not sure what the plane could see since I thought it was nose up in final landing position. I guess we will know if they can dry out the box and get the internal convo. The lack of worry from the atc made me think this was normal faire for a copter to be that close.

The height of the helicopter is my big wonderment right now. I also realise that it is night and and harder to see but the video I saw this evening showed absolutely no deviation by the copter when it hit the plane. The plane was gliding and losing elevation slowly at that point so really hard for me to understand how they did not see it even if in the last 30 seconds and we would have seen the copter try to adjust...the video shows a straight ramming. You mentioned she a few times, is that in reference to the pilot whose name has not been released? I understand she was a co-pilot so at least one other person should have been at least partially connected to the situation and neither saw this plane, even the last moments? Thanks for your input though, my comments are wonderment not suggesting I know any more.

Being off course and more than 100 feet above where they though they were, that is a big snafu.

May be coincidence, who knows. The copter crash is still a worry about how and why. All of this puts weather into it's proper position of less importance but we just picked up close to a half inch of rain in 30 min here.

That part of NE Philly is going to be full of people where it went down. May be worst week of aviation history in our country's history.

The ring camera view of tonights plane looks like it was going almost straight down. Crazy. People questioning if the copter hit the AA plane on purpose (previous crash) and now this.

The 18Z GFS in a gif

The happiest happy hour on a long time. Coldinista's strike back after 12Z

18Z GFS with some surprisingly good news shorter term.

47 MPH wind gust in the dry slot.

I better order up my oil for the half of house that uses oil. I used 2336 kwh for the part of my house which is electric which is basically about half the house. I understand it was cold but I was expecting a better return on the insulation.

Electric bill was ludicrous last month. So much for insulated and sealing helping. Ended up being a waste and should have left as is (comparing kwh used not just the price.)

Just like Summer. Pounding rains headed into Harrisburg.

VERY heavy rain heading into the LSV right now. Some people who bailed may be "bailing" for the opposite reasons. .5" has fallen in N Franklin county in the last 30 min. 40-55 or 60 dBZ stuff. Also, the Government does not sanitize their email signatures so they all match a set script/format? I bet Elon fixes that up sooner rather than later.

Third one rides the track nicely on the 12Z Euro but this is just for fun this far out. Explosive possibilities per progged exactly like this. This run is going to ride it too far north eventually but a lot to digest if this became at all close to reality. The SER won today. A Voyager special with 70's possible again.

12Z Euro mostly rain for both storms next week. A missed opportunity if this does not switch a bit.

.12" in the bucket now.

GFS wanting to attack us with all systems in the Short and Mid Term. All sloppy over to rain.

GFS keeping with the ice storm next Wednesday...switching to rain mid way through.

Even 1/4 to 1/2" is very welcome right now. Keeps thing stable for more precip hopefully to come.

My understand is that it is tied to a type of NBM/a mean of models type situation that they then can manually adjust. This is especially true for longer range zones re; Paweathers snow showers. I do not think any met entered snow showers.

Model wise, most of the rain does not come until this afternoon. Most of the energy is still in Indiana.

I think that as more and more WFH arrangements go away the spread becomes more prominent. From 2020-2023, spread was much less of an issue.