Bubbler86

He said something about wall to wall warmer/not cold for Feb, just going from other posts, so he is not going to like how that has changed. March is too far out to be guesstimating IMO.

Gross.

No way Ruin said the word "nice" unless it was in a sentence such as "The NWS said I would get to 24 last night and I got to 16. Nice job guys"

Not much jibber jabber about the snow tonight? Could see a decent amount North of the lower part of the LSV. 1-2" @pawatch

Definitely a major positive. Just remember a year or two where constant means were being posted in the MA thread, some very high, and we hardly had any snow. But as of NOW the idea of an early spring is out the door. Too much evidence to the contrary.

You did not ask me but I remember some means that were very high within the last 5 years (and not sure which model) as these maps are some of the reason people get down on LR forecasting. I remember seeing 6-8" means south of us. Not bad news though!

Yea, a surprisingly cold morning. Most of the lakes and ponds are still frozen here as well. Not cold enough for walking but still covered.

The "weather" in Dallas is very Blue right now. People don't even feel Luka warm about it.

He/She is staring the obvious in the face with the LR upper level maps. Talking about winter, 11 degrees this Am as well. Finally beat MDT which got down to a mean average temp dropping 16.

Yea it is like a dance to see if we can show well enough for snow but not showboat where the girl walks away. Either way cold and dry or cold or cool and snow/ice is better than 70's in Feb IMO. Apologies to Voyager.

If it were not for the wind., it was a shorts day.

All things considered, I am really happy with modeling and what people who follow teleconnections (I like to stay more in MR and SR) are saying for the next 2-4 weeks. Happy being stated from someone who wants more winter weather. Those progs that showed several days in a row of 60's and 70's have been pushed aside for now. Some op progs still show some outputs of 50's or 60's in between cold spells but the second half of Feb currently looks like this to most people skilled in LR forecasting. Sucks for energy bills but good for discussion and tracking. I still think Feb has a better chance to be BN vs AN. This map below is record setting cold for mid Feb.

Plus with the current interest rates. I would rather pay cash and live in downtown McSherrystown vs pay interest. Real Estate has to cool down at some point. I saw the development you spoke of. Utilities sticking up on empty lots, etc. Think I saw a house or two built or being built. I got lost today trying to avoid the traffic. Saw an entrance for the Vulcan quarry and thought I was on the other side...did not realize there is more than one entrance.

One interesting thing I noted was that rumor has it the female pilot was managing the flight but the back and forth with the ATC was a male pilot. I have not heard yet that they have released the internal convos on the copter. Watching the hi-res view of the copter ramming the plane is truly like a theatrical movie thing. Sad.

My wife wanted to stop at that fancy pants crochet/knitting shop in town...I like McSherrystown. Good old fashioned bones. I am sure there are a ton of new houses outside the main street stuff. I am perfectly fine overlooking the large Ringgold Valley below me where I currently sit. LOL. I like the conveniences of Hanover but not the hustle and bustle. I went home via 30 and noted New Oxford still had some Christmas Decorations up. Maybe the maintenance team is afraid to navigate the traffic circle.

I thought my NWS zone said falling to near 31 today but stayed in the 40's and upper 30's all day in Hanover and McSherrystown. Wind was pretty brutal though.

In what stands as a solid sign summer is still far off, we got clipped by a small 10 min torrential downpour yesterday to give us .65 for the day. During summer that would be a miss.

I did not go there because of the "mantra", true or not, about only going 5-6 days. If there was nothing else I may have gone there but the 5th was there.

A good bit, if not all, of the qpf on the Euro AI is frozen for the 5th. 8th/9th not as nice.

I sometimes think the "handlers" like to purposely pick whatever the opposite of the weather is...cloudy and he/she sees their shadow, sunny and they don't. The Pennsylvania Polka is a catchy tune to listen to while it is happening.

Will be very interesting to hear the convo inside the copter. It feels like a Hanover day. Haha, actually the planned day to stop at my clients there.

Watching the most clear of images I have seen so far, at this link, just makes it hard to understand how the copter did not know. Understanding the plane is above it and descending as they get closer, the lights on the plane are super bright and one would think even night vision would have caught something in their angle of vision at least in the last 10-15 seconds. If they can't see that plane in that position, visual separation should never be an allowed tactic. https://www.yahoo.com/news/dca-surveillance-cameras-catch-clearest-171807768.html

Temp stays at or below freezing at MDT Feb 8th-14 on the 6Z GFS.