Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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I am not going to bring out the Cheez-its guy pic again but...yea. I will mention him.
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57 for the high here. A bit of a quick torch. Still banging mid 50's.
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Fv3 has that streak too but the Nam streak is an HH namming. Temps 25-28 during snow.
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I do not want it but would rather be in the know than not. This PV split has gained national news notoriety now.
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Check out that WAA streak. Pretty incredible Also would make this a 24-36 hour event.
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Just using the Euro as an example it shows 2" as the total QPF for you over the next 2 weeks. Definitely a good start to Feb but not a drought buster. We should receive about 1.5" during that time so just a little better than what is normal/what our min should be.
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High level guess, we will need about 4-5" in Feb before they adjust it "too much". Average is a little under .75" per week and so need to double that each week to start making meaningful dents.
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Very long ranger but the PV Split being ballyhooed about. Near zero at MDT at 7PM.
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Even the Hot Euro is still signaling ICE on Thursday thought verbatim surface temps are 30-32 in the LSV.
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Storm 3 next week and beyond but out past 300 now.
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A bit too much of a cold thing for next Tue on the CMC. No real mechanism to draw the snow up our way and boundary is down in Central and Southern VA vs. N VA like the GFS (which does show snow and ice via two pieces of energy.)
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Someone commented this AM that this frz maps are often over done or only apply to trees which I think is true...but still posting the data. This would require a WSW. Not as impressed with the GFS which ends in warmer temps limiting the potential power line issues.
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Tad north of me. Close but probably no snow for me in that map...or somewhere between.1 and .4.
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Just for fun
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GFS loading up again for the 15th or 16th.
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Valentines Day smack down. (PBP not a forecast)
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Incoming
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18Z GFS sends first stage of Wed ice storm mostly south of us. Some light frozen new M/D line. But kicks in Thur with freezing rain.
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Like modeled and forecasted. LOL.
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For once models are targeting the LSV with the starting WAA of a storm coming our way...here are the Nam totals for snow before Ice kicks in Wed
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So far the high here today has been 25. Impressive. Looks like snow though I know I am a bit too far south for the party tonight. MDT has a shot to stay below freezing today as well.
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I know there is disdain for off topic here but I am dealing with the worst trade in NBA history (as of now) so hard to be happy posting. But really did not mean to offend, I was sort of defending MU and saying he is probably not happy.
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I am sorry, was not trying to offend. I remembered the wall-to-wall term. At that time, and even as soon as two days ago, Feb looked middling at best but as of this moment it looks very cold. Whether it snows or not is always up for interpretation but someone quoted that MU was unhappy (joking I assume) about the Hog and I figured he was probably unhappy because he loves warm and warm Feb looks a lot less likely now than it did a few days ago,
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I went back and looked and it was actually not him, it was this post and interpretation so sorry if I suggested it was him. I actually did not read what he said at that point in Jan to suggest your take on but my thought is right now it appears to be that Feb has a very good chance of being BN so I figured he was not happy with the turn of events. It is just a model run but if the GFS were right we would be a good 3-5 degrees BN when hitting the last third of Feb. Only one high out of the 15 panels is AN.
