Bubbler86

Since I was looking at the stats, Last third of the month starting... Feb Stats MDT's has 1.91" of qpf while the norm is 1.55". MDT's Mean Temp has been 32.3 while 32.1 is normal through yesterday. Of the 17 days in the books, 9 have been AN and and 8 BN. Feb and Met Winter Snow MDT is well BN with snow only having 3.3" while 6.1" is normal. I believe that gives MDT 15.5" of snow for MET WINTER while normal would be 19.6". MDT will probably need that Feb 27th/28th time period to work out to avoid a loss for Met winter.

I just commented because there have been some posts the last few days related to how dry it has been...Jan was dry but Feb has been pretty wet so far. Looks like we get a break for a week or so now.

Feb is above average for qpf at MDT right now.

The model is supposed to account for that within its algorithms but yes one would think it would take some moisture to moisten things up. I am in NO WAY forecasting any of this just following along with the models. My forecast for Thursday is 30% chance of light snow (or snow showers in Myra) with nothing more than a coating. If you take the Euro AI literally it is forecasting up to 1/2" for you.

We jumped a bit early to say the Nam totally moved on. Snow map coming soon.

LOL, you will not move on. I know you. LOL. You and Blizz have April snow on your mind.

An expected fold unfortunately. It has been a bad winter for the Nam.

Most of that is rain on the EC but was a lot of qpf and worth a mention.

Speaking of qpf, here is a kick in the groin. PAweather 540 line going out to the oil rigs as well. JNS special.

You are on a roll lately!

It starts in 10 days but you may not be happy when stepping outside.

I know you are kidding but yea pipeline options and cold air nearby is what I am lookin for on 300 hr maps.

Bring it...

GFS still trying to stir up some precip up here this weekend. Close to 1" of snow for much of Eastern PA right now. A little spotty on snow map coverage. A shallow wave comes in under and tries to form a new low off NC. Just enough lift to see snow break out Sat night into Sun AM.

The fates of the universe keep stringing our hopes. I will say, as alluded to earlier, I would count on a coating to 1" possibilities anywhere in the LSV when the trough/500 swings through and sparks some qpf. Not everyone but think anyone could see it.

It basically snows all day Thursday in your hood. Starts overnight Wed.

It is an all day Snow Storm for much of Eastern PA. Accums only impressive south though. Low is closer to the coast than yesterday at 12Z.

The Nam is going to be plowable for Southern LSV but the 3K not as north so not sure I sharpen the lows yet.

Yep, but I agree they will probably go a little BN this week.

Like yesterday, 12Z is the time for the Nam to go norther again

Temps are actually AN for Feb at MDT right now....through yesterday. A slim margin though only at only .2.

HRRR joins the meso's showing a light accumulating snow Thursday AM for the LSV, especially south side. We are talking 1" or less here though the timing and temps in the teens and low 20's "could" cause rush hour issues.

11 this AM. Mesos's are picking up on the Thur moisture with the 500 pass. Nam is the highest but other mesos are showing it as well.